Match Info

SPAIN: Primera RFEF - Promotion Play Offs - Semi-finals

Date: 1 June 2024, Saturday


	Celta de Vigo B		Málaga

	1	X	2
	2.45	2.95	2.65
	2.55	3	2.8
	2.61	2.94	2.92
	2.61	2.94	2.93
	2.59	3.13	2.88
	2.5	2.9	2.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.55 ↓ (3.14)	2.98 ↓ (3)	2.83 ↑ (2.32)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 5.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Celta de Vigo B
36.2%

Draw
31.1%

Málaga
32.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

29.4%

30.8%

39.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.3%

30.9%

39.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Celta de Vigo B has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Celta de Vigo B's performance.

Málaga has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Málaga might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Celta de Vigo B than the current prediction. (-6.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Celta de Vigo B that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Málaga than the current prediction. (+7.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Málaga could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	100%	0%

Celta de Vigo B - Málaga Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Garcia R. (G) 20. Rodriguez J. 2. Lago Y. 12. Fernandez M. 17. Rueda J. 6. Rodriguez D. 29. de la Iglesia D. 23. Alvarez H. 10. Blanco R. 11. Gonzalez A. 9. Duran P.	1. Herrero A. (G) 3. Puga C. 20. Monte N. 5. Juande 14. Garcia V. 10. Larrubia D. 16. Rodriguez G. 22. Lorenzo D. 12. Molina M. 7. Ferreiro D. 19. Fernandez Jaen R.
Substitutes
5. Alonso G. 25. Antanon L. 4. Dominguez J. 24. Fernandez C. G. (G) 16. Gonzalez D. 8. Iglesias Lois B. 15. Lopez F. 18. Lopez J. 34. Meixus P. 14. Roman M. 21. San Bartolome V. 3. Tincho	9. Aviles J. 36. Cespedes A. (G) 26. Cordero A. 17. Dioni 2. Gabilondo J. 4. Galilea E. 8. Juanpe 13. Lopez C. (G) 29. Merino I. 25. Murillo D. 18. Sanchez D. 23. Sangalli L. 11. Villodres K.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
15', 1 - 0, Gonzalez A. ⚽,
34', Lorenzo D. 🟨,
36', Fernandez M. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
46', Fernandez M. ↓, Meixus P. ↑,
48', 1 - 1, Rodriguez G. ⚽,
49', 🟨,
57', Garcia V. 🟨,
59', Garcia R. 🟨,
61', 1 - 2, Fernandez Jaen R. ⚽,
63', Blanco R. ↓, Lopez F. ↑,
63', Alvarez H. ↓, Roman M. ↑,
65', Monte N. 🟨,
66', Lorenzo D. ↓, Sangalli L. ↑,
71', Rueda J. 🟨,
72', Fernandez Jaen R. 🟨,
74', Rodriguez J. ↓, Lopez J. ↑,
78', Puga C. ↓, Gabilondo J. ↑,
78', Fernandez Jaen R. ↓, Dioni ↑,
86', Larrubia D. ↓, Villodres K. ↑,
87', Rodriguez G. ↓, Juanpe ↑,
87', Gonzalez A. ↓, Iglesias Lois B. ↑,
90+3', 2 - 2, Duran P. ⚽,

Preview

1st leg.

Both teams are now playing unstable.

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Celta de Vigo B
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
25.05.24	Celta de Vigo B - Barcelona B	1:2 ✺
18.05.24	Arenteiro - Celta de Vigo B	1:1 ✺
11.05.24	Celta de Vigo B - Rayo Majadahonda	3:0 ✺
04.05.24	Real Sociedad B - Celta de Vigo B	0:0 ✺
27.04.24	Celta de Vigo B - SD Logroñés	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 LTWTW
- Málaga CF
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
25.05.24	Real Madrid Castilla - Málaga	1:2 ✺
18.05.24	Málaga - Antequera	3:0 ✺
12.05.24	San Fernando - Málaga	1:1 ✺
05.05.24	Málaga - Mérida AD	1:1 ✺
28.04.24	Córdoba - Málaga	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 WWTTL

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