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Current Win Probability
Arenteiro 43%
Draw 27.6%
Celta de Vigo B 29.4%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
36.5%
29%
34.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
35.7%
28.3%
35.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Arenteiro has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.5%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Arenteiro's performance.
Celta de Vigo B has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.1%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Celta de Vigo B might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Arenteiro than the current prediction. (-7.3%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Arenteiro that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Celta de Vigo B than the current prediction. (+5.9%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Celta de Vigo B could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Arenteiro - Celta de Vigo B Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
13. Garcia D. (G) 22. Sanchez J. 4. Falcon E. 3. Lohr L. 16. Lasure D. 7. Ferreiro D. 6. Val B. 23. Kandoussi B. 25. Bastida A. 15. Moreno D. 18. Mingo V.
1. Carrillo J. B. (G) 26. Rodriguez A. 6. Meixus P. 4. Vazquez J. 2. Gavian P. 32. Khayat A. 16. Capdevila A. 18. Lopez J. 7. Gonzalez H. 37. Kibet A. 9. Marin A.
Substitutes
19. Alpha M. 1. Alvin (G) 10. Chuca 11. Cuellar J. 8. Gonzalez D. 17. Molina A. 2. Moya P. 14. Safrai
31. Arceo C. 11. Arcos A. 21. Bilbao L. 5. Burcio H. 13. Caio Barone (G) 25. Gonzalez M. (G) 23. Miller G. 14. Oliveras J. 35. Perez-Lafuente J. 3. Ribes K. 29. Sobral M. 17. Somuah B.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
9', 1 - 0, Sanchez J. ⚽,
34', Meixus P. ↓, Arcos A. ↑,
36', Kibet A. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Kibet A. ↓, Somuah B. ↑,
50', Val B. 🟨,
73', Capdevila A. ↓, Burcio H. ↑,
75', Kandoussi B. ↓, Molina A. ↑,
80', Lopez J. ↓, Oliveras J. ↑,
80', Marin A. ↓, Perez-Lafuente J. ↑,
80', Ferreiro D. ↓, Chuca ↑,
82', Bastida A. ↓, Gonzalez D. ↑,
82', Mingo V. ↓, Safrai ↑,
90+4', 1 - 1, Somuah B. ⚽,
Preview
This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 19 in the zone Relegation and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera RFEF ~ Group 1).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Arenteiro won 0.
Arenteiro has suffered several defeats recently (last 5 games: 0 wins).
Celta de Vigo B has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins โ 2).
The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Arenteiro won 0 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 6:9. (average 1:1.5).
Including home matches between the teams, Arenteiro won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 2:3. (average 1:1.5).
Spain
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Garcia D. (G) 
Khayat A. 
Kibet A. 
Cuellar J. 
Safrai 
Caio Barone (G) 
Miller G. 
Somuah B. 
