Match Info

Primera RFEF - Group 1 - Round 38

Date: 24 May 2025, Saturday

Location: Zubieta Real Sociedad (San Sebastian)

Where to Watch on TV:


Spain	FEF TV


	Real Sociedad B		Celta de Vigo B

	1	X	2
	2.05	3.4	3.1
	2.05	3.3	3
	2.1	3.5	3.15
	2.08	3.56	3.1
	2.08	3.52	3.1	Watch
	2.1	3.52	3.11
	2.1	3.5	3.15
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.08 ↓ (2.14)	3.47 ↑ (3.2)	3.1 ↓ (3.25)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 7.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Real Sociedad B
44.1%

Draw
26.4%

Celta de Vigo B
29.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43%

28.7%

28.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.1%

28%

27.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Real Sociedad B has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)

Celta de Vigo B has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)

The ML Model estimate for Real Sociedad B aligns with the current prediction.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Celta de Vigo B than the current prediction. (-1.9%)

Real Sociedad B - Celta de Vigo B Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Fraga A. (G) 10. Goti Lopez M. 6. Lebarbier A. 3. Balda J. 9. Orobengoa E. 22. Ruperez I. 17. Ramirez D. 15. Rodriguez P. 19. Marchal A. 44. Gorosabel G. 28. Carbonell T.	25. Fernandez C. G. (G) 18. Lopez J. 4. Alonso G. (C) 6. Meixus P. 23. Garriel I. 9. Escobar J. 10. de la Iglesia D. 15. Antanon A. 30. Miller F. G. J. 34. Barreiros I. 17. Somuah B.
Substitutes
23. Agote U. 40. Astiazaran L. 5. Astigarraga E. 35. Carrera G. 37. Garro J. 16. Gibelalde M. 21. Merino J. 38. Ropero I. 32. Zango A. (G)	31. Arcos A. 14. Burcio H. 1. Carrillo J. B. (G) 36. Crespo Y. 7. Diez S. 21. Fernandez M. 11. Guedes J. . Marcos O. 38. Noya D. 27. Rodriguez A. 2. Vicente

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
4', 🟨,
26', 🟨,
45', 1 - 0, Goti Lopez M. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
50', Garriel I. ↓, Fernandez M. ↑,
90+1', 2 - 0, ⚽,

Preview

One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera RFEF ~ Promotion Play Offs and 6).

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Real Sociedad B will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Real Sociedad B won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 3:3. (average 1:1).

Including home match between the teams, Real Sociedad B won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Real Sociedad B
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
17.05.25	Arenteiro - Real Sociedad B	1:1 ✺
11.05.25	Real Sociedad B - Ponferradina	3:2 ✺
02.05.25	Gimnástica Segoviana - Real Sociedad B	0:0 ✺
26.04.25	Real Sociedad B - Unionistas de Salamanca	1:0 ✺
19.04.25	Lugo - Real Sociedad B	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.2 TWTWL
- Celta de Vigo B
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
17.05.25	Celta de Vigo B - Athletic Bilbao B	2:1 ✺
11.05.25	Amorebieta - Celta de Vigo B	4:3 ✺
04.05.25	Celta de Vigo B - Osasuna B	3:0 ✺
27.04.25	Zamora - Celta de Vigo B	1:1 ✺
20.04.25	Celta de Vigo B - Tarazona	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 WLWTT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
11.01.25	Celta de Vigo B - Real Sociedad B	2:1
04.05.24	Real Sociedad B - Celta de Vigo B	0:0
26.11.23	Celta de Vigo B - Real Sociedad B	1:2

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