Match Info

LaLiga2 - Round 7

Date: 26 September 2026, Saturday

Location: Estadio de Balaídos (Vigo)

Referee: Etayo G. (Esp)

Where to Watch on TV:


Mexico	Izzi TV
North-central-america	Sky Sports Norte
Spain	DAZN Espana, LaLiga Hypermotion 2, LaLiga Hypermotion
Usa	ESPN App, ESPN+


	Celta de Vigo B		Sabadell

	1	X	2
	3.6	3.4	2.01	Watch
	3.20	3.20	2.10
	3.45	3.25	2.02	Watch
	3.82	3.41	2.11
	3.76	3.36	2.05	Watch
	3.7	3.35	2.07
	3.78	3.43	2.02	Watch
	3.5	3.35	2.06
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.6 ↑ (2.95)	3.34 ↑ (3.05)	2.06 ↓ (2.28)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Celta de Vigo B
26.1%

Draw
28.1%

Sabadell
45.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30.7%

29.7%

39.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30%

29%

40.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Celta de Vigo B has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)

Sabadell has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Sabadell's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Celta de Vigo B than the current prediction. (+3.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sabadell than the current prediction. (-5.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Sabadell, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
18.2%	18.2%	63.6%

Celta de Vigo B - Sabadell Predictions

Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Celta de Vigo B will win (votes: 2 - 18.2%). Sabadell will win (votes: 7 - 63.6%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 18.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Sabadell: 35.2% – 92%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Celta de Vigo B (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 4.5 - over (6.88) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS, 1st Half - yes (4.49) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (1.79) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Carrillo J. B. (C) 3. Ribes K. 4. Ndiaye S. M. 20. Rodriguez A. 2. Gavian P. 16. Capdevila A. 5. Burcio H. 23. Milla G. 15. Kibet A. 9. Marin A. 10. Marcos O.	1. Fuoli D. (G) 14. Sanz O. 6. Gonzalez E. 27. Catala J. 7. Ripoll T. 22. Liameed Q. 20. Orriols Cerarols A. (C) 8. Pons P. 4. Codina M. 12. Valles G. 23. Priego J.
Substitutes
11. Arcos A. 13. Caio Barone (G) 19. Davila A. 25. Gonzalez M. (G) 32. Lopez H. 18. Lopez J. 6. Meixus P. 21. Olmedo A. 26. Perez-Lafuente J. 33. Sueiro D.	24. Aguilar Elizalde E. 10. Baena Perez A. 11. Lopez-Pinto J. 9. Obolskiy N. 13. Ortega J. (G) 2. Pipa 19. Rahmani Y. 21. Ribeiro A. 25. Vidal Girona M. V. (G)
Coaches
Alvarez F.	Costa F.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
6', 1 - 0, Marin A. ⚽,
20', Pons P. 🟨,
23', 1 - 1, Gonzalez E. ⚽, Ripoll T. (A),
32', Gonzalez E. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Pons P. ↓, Baena Perez A. ↑,
54', Catala J. 🟨,
54', Orriols Cerarols A. 🟨,
60', Catala J. ↓, Lopez-Pinto J. ↑,
60', Valles G. ↓, Obolskiy N. ↑,
60', Marcos O. ↓, Arcos A. ↑,
71', Priego J. ↓, Ribeiro A. ↑,
72', Burcio H. ↓, Meixus P. ↑,
72', Gavian P. ↓, Lopez J. ↑,
78', Rodriguez A. 🟨,
81', Marin A. ↓, Perez-Lafuente J. ↑,
81', Kibet A. ↓, Davila A. ↑,
86', Ripoll T. ↓, Aguilar Elizalde E. ↑,
89', Ndiaye S. M. 🟨,

Preview

An intriguing matchup between a mid-ranked team and a top contender (ranked 15th and 7th).

Celta de Vigo B has experienced an up-and-down run in recent matches (last 5 matches: 2 wins).

Sabadell shows confident form ahead of this contest (last 5 matches: 3 wins).

A closely fought contest is anticipated, with Sabadell holding a narrow advantage.

Confirmed absences for Celta de Vigo B: Cuenca Martinez H. F. (International duty) Khayat A. (Injury) Sobral M. (International duty) Somuah B. (Injury) Vlad (International duty).

Confirmed absences for Sabadell: Bonaldo (Injury) Fornes G. (Injury) Gioacchini N. (Injury) Moreno X. (Injury).

Doubtful / questionable for Celta de Vigo B: Antanon A. (Ankle Injury) Bajcetic S. (Hamstring Injury).

In the last 2 head-to-head meetings, Celta de Vigo B has recorded 1 win, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with a goal aggregate of 5:4 (averaging 2.5:2 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Celta de Vigo B against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 0 draws, and 0 losses, with 4:2 goals.

Outrights of Spanish LaLiga2 for now

Sabadell: 3.19% Celta Vigo B: 0.36%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
7	Sabadell	8	3	4	1	8:6	2	13
18	Celta Vigo B	8	2	2	4	10:14	-4	8

Last Results with these Odds

Celta de Vigo B - the odds 2.95 are the expected chance of winning is 30.66%, but this team recently wins 56% of matches with these odds.

Sabadell - the odds 2.28 are the expected chance of winning is 39.68%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Celta de Vigo B
Spanish LaLiga2
20.09.26	Almería - Celta de Vigo B	2:0 ✺
14.09.26	Celta de Vigo B - Eibar	0:4 ✺
05.09.26	Ceuta - Celta de Vigo B	0:2 ✺
31.08.26	Celta de Vigo B - Castellón	1:2 ✺
24.08.26	Celta de Vigo B - FC Andorra	4:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.1 LLWLW
- Sabadell FC
Spanish LaLiga2
20.09.26	Sabadell - Real Oviedo	3:1 ✺
13.09.26	Mallorca - Sabadell	2:0 ✺
07.09.26	Sabadell - Córdoba	3:2 ✺
29.08.26	Sabadell - Almería	1:0 ✺
23.08.26	Castellón - Sabadell	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.9 WLWWT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
21.01.24	Sabadell - Celta de Vigo B	2:1
28.10.23	Celta de Vigo B - Sabadell	4:2

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