Match Info

LaLiga2 - Round 3

Date: 29 August 2026, Saturday

Location: Estadi de la Nova Creu Alta (Sabadell)

Referee: Perez M. (Esp)

Where to Watch on TV:


Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 6, beIN Sports MENA 7
Mexico	Sky Sport
Portugal	DAZN / App
Spain	LaLiga Hypermotion, LaLiga TV Bar 2
Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Sabadell		Almería

	1	X	2
	2.35	3.2	3	Watch
	2.45	3.00	2.75
	2.38	3.05	2.95	Watch
	2.61	3.2	3.03
	2.49	3.19	2.97	Watch
	2.5	3.1	2.95
	2.52	3.23	2.98	Watch
	2.41	3.15	3
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.46 ↓ (2.72)	3.14 ↓ (3.17)	2.95 ↑ (2.67)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 2.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sabadell
38.2%

Draw
30%

Almería
31.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.8%

29.8%

35.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.3%

30.2%

35.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sabadell has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)

Almería has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sabadell than the current prediction. (-3.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Almería than the current prediction. (+4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
20%	40%	40%

Sabadell - Almería Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Sabadell will win (votes: 1 - 20%). Almería will win (votes: 2 - 40%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 40%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Fuoli D. (G) 14. Sanz O. 27. Catala J. 5. Bonaldo 4. Codina M. 7. Ripoll T. 22. Liameed Q. 8. Pons P. 20. Orriols Cerarols A. (C) 23. Priego J. 16. Gioacchini N.	1. Fernandez A. (G) 22. Chirino D. 5. Pulido J. 18. Bonini F. 3. Munoz A. 29. Dzodic S. 6. Vesga M. 23. Embarba A. (C) 10. Melamed N. 7. Morcillo J. 24. de la Fuente M.
Substitutes
24. Aguilar Elizalde E. 17. Coscia A. 31. Estevez M. (G) 15. Lazaro Cervera J. C. 30. Moreno X. 9. Obolskiy N. 13. Ortega J. (G) 2. Pipa 19. Rahmani Y. 10. Ramirez Carrasco M. A. 12. Valles G.	21. Chumi 17. Cipenga B. 33. Junyent Q. 12. Leo Baptistao 30. Lopez J. (G) 2. Luna M. 13. Martinez F. (G) 4. Monte N. 19. Rodrigo Ely 20. Sola A.
Coaches
Costa F.	Garcia Pimienta

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
16', Bonaldo 🟨,
35', Melamed N. 🟨,
38', Gioacchini N. 🟨,
45+3', Liameed Q. 🟨,
45+4', Embarba A. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
53', 1 - 0, Gioacchini N. ⚽, Ripoll T. (A),
58', Embarba A. ↓, Cipenga B. ↑,
58', Morcillo J. ↓, Junyent Q. ↑,
58', Melamed N. ↓, Leo Baptistao ↑,
62', Gioacchini N. ↓, Valles G. ↑,
63', Catala J. ↓, Pipa ↑,
63', Orriols Cerarols A. 🟨,
73', Pons P. ↓, Rahmani Y. ↑,
73', Bonaldo ↓, Aguilar Elizalde E. ↑,
76', Vesga M. ↓, Luna M. ↑,
76', Chirino D. ↓, Sola A. ↑,
86', Ripoll T. ↓, Lazaro Cervera J. C. ↑,
88', Codina M. 🟨,

Preview

Sabadell is showing really good form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Almería's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Recently, Almería has had a series of away games.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

There will not play in Sabadell: Fornes G. (Injury) Lopez-Pinto J. (Injury) Pipa (Injury) Ribeiro A. (Injury)

There will not play in Almería: Arribas S. (Inactive) Gui Guedes (Knee Injury) Monte N. (Inactive) Thalys (Red Card)

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sabadell won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 9:10. (average 1.8:2).

Including home matches between the teams, Sabadell won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 6:3. (average 2:1).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	Almeria	8	6	0	2	13:5	8	18
4	Sabadell	9	4	4	1	10:7	3	16

Last Results with these Odds

Sabadell - the odds 2.72 are the expected chance of winning is 34.76%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.

Almería - the odds 2.67 are the expected chance of winning is 35.41%, but this team recently wins 14% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sabadell FC
Spanish LaLiga2
23.08.26	Castellón - Sabadell	0:0 ✺
17.08.26	Sporting de Gijón - Sabadell	0:0 ✺
Club Friendly
01.08.26	FC Andorra - Sabadell	0:0 ✺
31.07.26	Sabadell - Inter Escaldes	1:0 ✺
29.07.26	Sabadell - Manresa	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.7 TTTWW
- UD Almería
Spanish LaLiga2
23.08.26	Tenerife - Almería	1:0 ✺
17.08.26	Almería - Eldense	3:0 ✺
Club Friendly
07.08.26	Córdoba - Almería	0:4 ✺
04.08.26	Al-Nassr Riyadh - Almería	0:2 ✺
01.08.26	Betis - Almería	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.4 LWWWL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish LaLiga2
24.01.21	Almería - Sabadell	2:2
05.11.20	Sabadell - Almería	1:2
08.02.13	Almería - Sabadell	5:1
08.09.12	Sabadell - Almería	3:0
16.05.12	Sabadell - Almería	2:1

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