Match Info

Europa League - League phase - Round 1

Date: 17 September 2026, Thursday

Location: Celtic Park (Glasgow)

Referee: Kolaric P. (Cro)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Celtic		Ferencvárosi

	1	X	2
	1.67	4.00	4.50
	1.68	4.00	4.75
	1.68	4.00	4.70
	1.71	4.02	5.13
	1.71	4.02	4.69	Watch
	1.66	3.95	5.05
	1.69	4.12	4.87
	1.73	4.10	4.80
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.69 ↓ (1.71)	4.03 ↓ (4.11)	4.81 ↑ (4.48)

The most likely Over/Under: 7.00

The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Celtic
56.4%

Draw
23.7%

Ferencvárosi
19.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.6%

23.1%

21.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

62.4%

25.9%

18.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Celtic has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

Ferencvárosi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Celtic than the current prediction. (+6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Celtic, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ferencvárosi than the current prediction. (-0.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	11.4%	13.6%

Celtic - Ferencvárosi Predictions

Users Predictions: 44 users predict this event. Celtic will win (votes: 33 - 75%). Ferencvárosi will win (votes: 6 - 13.6%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 11.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Celtic: 62.2% – 87.8%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 7 Selected Experts predict this event. Celtic (votes: 5 - 71.4%). Tie (votes: 2 - 28.6%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -0.75 - Celtic (1.84) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH +1 - Ferencvárosi (1.65) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

EH +3 - Ferencvárosi (1.15) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (1.63) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - under (2.25) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

New Consensus by Tipsters:

O/U 2.5 - over (1.53) (votes: 100%) ⭐ Best Value.

BTTS - yes (1.57) (votes: 100%) ⭐ Best Value.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 10 Selected Experts predict this event. Celtic (votes: 6 - 60%). Ferencvárosi (votes: 2 - 20%). Tie (votes: 2 - 20%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Sinisalo V. (G) 51. Donovan C. 20. Carter-Vickers C. 5. Scales L. 63. Tierney K. 42. McGregor C. (C) 22. Baur M. 23. Hassan H. 18. Sorensen O. 49. Forrest J. 11. Duran C.	1. Varga A. (G) 54. Nagy O. 28. Raemaekers T. 4. Gomez M. 20. Cadu 6. Nagy A. 17. Corbu M. 11. Dele 16. Zachariassen K. (C) 15. Arzani D. 18. Bagi A.
Substitutes
31. Doohan R. (G) 9. Hogh K. 26. Johnstone S. (G) 3. Lotomba J. 14. McCowan L. 47. Murray D. 8. Nygren B. 56. Ralston A. 17. Tounekti S. 6. Trusty A.	22. Bero M. 7. Birmancevic V. 90. Dibusz D. (G) 8. Keita N. 19. Kovacevic F. 71. Lakatos C. 10. Levi J. 76. Lisztes K. 72. Madarasz A. 47. O'Dowda C. 14. Osvath A. 5. Zohore N.
Coaches
O'Neill Ma.	Borbely B.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 2)
20', 0 - 1, Dele ⚽, Zachariassen K. (A),
44', 1 - 1, Baur M. ⚽, Tierney K. (A),
45+1', 1 - 2, Zachariassen K. ⚽, Dele (A),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Sorensen O. ↓, Hogh K. ↑,
46', Nagy O. ↓, Osvath A. ↑,
47', 1 - 3, Arzani D. ⚽, Dele (A),
57', Hassan H. ↓, Tounekti S. ↑,
57', Forrest J. ↓, Nygren B. ↑,
66', Arzani D. ↓, O'Dowda C. ↑,
66', Dele ↓, Levi J. ↑,
66', Baur M. ↓, McCowan L. ↑,
71', Bagi A. ↓, Lisztes K. ↑,
80', Donovan C. ↓, Ralston A. ↑,
81', Gomez M. ↓, Zohore N. ↑,
86', Levi J. 🟨,
87', Osvath A. 🟨,

Preview

Celtic is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Ferencvárosi is in great form and has won several matches in a row (last 5 games: 4 wins).

In this match, Celtic is a strong favorite.

There will not play in Celtic: Johnston A. (Leg Injury) Jota (Knee Injury) Mheuka S. (Off the roster) Osmand C. (Inactive) Oxlade-Chamberlain A. (Red Card) van den Berg J. (Off the roster)

There will not play in Ferencvárosi: Nagy B. (Off the roster) Otvos B. (Knee Injury) Pappoe I. (Knee Injury) Szecsi G. (Off the roster)

There are questionable in Celtic: Emenalo L. (Injury)

We predict that Celtic will win today's game, with odds of 1.74.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Celtic won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 6:4. (average 2:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Celtic won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:2. (average 1.5:1).

Outrights of UEFA Europa League for now

Celtic: 0.86% Ferencvaros: 0.78%

Standings

League phase

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
6	Ferencvaros	1	1	0	0	3:1	2	3
28	Celtic	1	0	0	1	1:3	-2	0

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Celtic
Scottish League Cup
13.09.26	Glasgow Rangers - Celtic	3:0 ✺
Scottish Premier League
09.09.26	St. Johnstone - Celtic	0:1 ✺
05.09.26	St. Mirren - Celtic	1:2 ✺
02.09.26	Celtic - Aberdeen	3:0 ✺
29.08.26	Celtic - Falkirk	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.4 LWWWW
- Ferencvárosi TC
Hungarian Cup
12.09.26	Debreceni EAC - Ferencvárosi	0:7 ✺
Hungarian NB I
06.09.26	Ferencvárosi - Ujpest	2:2 ✺
03.09.26	Győri ETO - Ferencvárosi	0:3 ✺
30.08.26	Puskás Academy - Ferencvárosi	1:2 ✺
UEFA Europa League
27.08.26	Ferencvárosi - Trabzonspor	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11 WTWWW

Latest Head to Head

UEFA Europa League
04.11.21	Ferencvárosi - Celtic	2:3
19.10.21	Celtic - Ferencvárosi	2:0
UEFA Champions League
26.08.20	Celtic - Ferencvárosi	1:2

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