Match Info

Premiership - Round 17

Date: 14 January 2026, Wednesday

Location: Falkirk Stadium (Falkirk)

Referee: Beaton J. (Sco)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	DStv Now, SupeSport ESPN 1
Australia	beIN Connect
Brazil	Canal GOAT
Czech-republic	Premier Sport 2
Germany	Magenta Sport, Sportdigital1+
Greece	COSMOTE Sport 3
Italy	Como TV
Kenya	Gotv
Nigeria	SupeSport ESPN 1
Poland	Polsat Sport Extra 3
Portugal	Sport TV5
Serbia	Arena Sport 1x2
South-africa	SupeSport ESPN
Switzerland	Blue Sport 2, Blue Sport 2
Thailand	True Ball Thai 1, True ID, True Sport 2
United-kingdom	Premier Sports 1, Premier Sports Player
Usa	Paramount+
World	Onefootball


	Falkirk		Celtic

	1	X	2
	6	4.75	1.45	Watch
	6.4	4.45	1.46	Watch
	6.24	4.76	1.47	Watch
	6	4.33	1.44
	5.9	4.5	1.48	Watch
	6	4.5	1.48
Avarage Now (Initially)	6.09 ↑ (5.8)	4.55 ↑ (4.41)	1.46 ↓ (1.47)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 5.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Falkirk
15.4%

Draw
20.6%

Celtic
64%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

16%

21%

63%

Our Initial ML Estimation

15.2%

20%

66.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Falkirk has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

Celtic has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Falkirk than the current prediction. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Celtic than the current prediction. (+2.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
15%	15%	70%

Falkirk - Celtic Predictions

Users Predictions: 19 users predict this event. Falkirk will win (votes: 3 - 15.8%). Celtic will win (votes: 14 - 73.7%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 10.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Celtic: 53.9% – 93.5%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Celtic will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Premiership (Championship Group: ) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Premiership (Championship Group: )).

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

In this match, Celtic is the undeniable favorite.

There will not play in Falkirk: Lang T. (Foot Injury) MacIver R. (Ankle Injury) Neilson L. (Ankle Injury) Oliver G. (Hamstring Injury)

There will not play in Celtic: Carter-Vickers C. (Achilles Tendon Injury) Iheanacho K. (Hamstring Injury) Johnston A. (Hamstring Injury) Jota (Knee Injury) Osmand C. (Hamstring Injury) Saracchi M. (Hamstring Injury)

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Falkirk won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 3:16. (average 0.6:3.2).

Including home match between the teams, Falkirk won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0.

Outrights of Scottish Premier League for now

Celtic: 51.13% Falkirk: 0.2%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Celtic	8	7	0	1	16:4	12	21
11	Falkirk	8	1	3	4	7:11	-4	6

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Falkirk FC
Scottish Premier League
10.01.26	St. Mirren - Falkirk	0:2 ✺
03.01.26	Falkirk - Aberdeen	1:0 ✺
27.12.25	Dundee - Falkirk	1:0 ✺
20.12.25	Kilmarnock - Falkirk	0:1 ✺
13.12.25	Falkirk - Hearts	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.4 WWLWL
- Celtic
Scottish Premier League
10.01.26	Celtic - Dundee United	4:0 ✺
03.01.26	Celtic - Glasgow Rangers	1:3 ✺
30.12.25	Motherwell - Celtic	2:0 ✺
27.12.25	Livingston - Celtic	2:4 ✺
21.12.25	Celtic - Aberdeen	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4 WLLWW

Latest Head to Head

Scottish Premier League
29.10.25	Celtic - Falkirk	4:0
Scottish League Cup
15.08.25	Celtic - Falkirk	4:1
22.09.24	Celtic - Falkirk	5:2
Scottish Cup
03.04.21	Celtic - Falkirk	3:0
Scottish League Cup
29.01.12	Falkirk - Celtic	N/A

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