Match Info

Premiership - Round 22

Date: 10 January 2026, Saturday

Location: Celtic Park (Glasgow)

Referee: Walsh N. (Sco)


	Celtic		Dundee United

	1	X	2
	1.19	6.5	12	Watch
	1.34	5.5	7
	1.17	7.4	12.5	Watch
	1.23	6.74	10.99	Watch
	1.22	6.5	10
	1.24	6.59	12.2	Watch
	1.2	6.66	12
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.23 ↓ (1.32)	6.56 ↑ (5.6)	10.96 ↑ (8.31)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Celtic
77%

Draw
14.4%

Dundee United
8.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

71.7%

16.9%

11.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

71.1%

16.8%

11.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Celtic has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Celtic's performance.

Dundee United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Celtic than the current prediction. (-5.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Celtic that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dundee United than the current prediction. (+2.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
76.9%	7.7%	15.4%

Celtic - Dundee United Predictions

Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. Celtic will win (votes: 10 - 76.9%). Dundee Utd will win (votes: 2 - 15.4%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 7.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Celtic: 54% – 99.8%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Celtic (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 0.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 2 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Schmeichel K. (G) 22. Araujo J. 6. Trusty A. 5. Scales L. 13. Yang Hyun-Jun 27. Engels A. 42. McGregor C. (C) 63. Tierney K. 23. Tounekti S. 41. Hatate R. 38. Maeda D.	25. Richards D. (G) 5. Sevelj V. 6. Graham R. (C) 23. Keresztes K. 22. Naamo D. 21. Stephenson L. 14. Sibbald C. 11. Ferry W. 9. Sapsford Z. 34. Stirton O. 8. Camara P.
Substitutes
28. Bernardo P. 51. Donovan C. 49. Forrest J. 24. Kenny J. 14. McCowan L. 47. Murray D. 8. Nygren B. 56. Ralston A. 12. Sinisalo V. (G)	31. Adams R. (G) 37. Cleall-Harding S. 10. Eskesen J. 17. Fatah A. 4. Iovu I. 77. Moller N. 2. Strain R. 7. Trapanovski K. 36. Watters M.
Coaches
O'Neill Ma.	Goodwin J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
27', 1 - 0, Yang Hyun-Jun ⚽, Scales L. (A),
32', 2 - 0, Engels A. ⚽, Tierney K. (A),
35', Araujo J. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Camara P. ↓, Fatah A. ↑,
60', Stirton O. ↓, Strain R. ↑,
60', Naamo D. ↓, Trapanovski K. ↑,
61', Hatate R. ↓, Nygren B. ↑,
61', Araujo J. ↓, Donovan C. ↑,
63', 3 - 0, Nygren B. ⚽,
69', 4 - 0, Maeda D. ⚽,
72', Yang Hyun-Jun ↓, McCowan L. ↑,
72', Tounekti S. ↓, Forrest J. ↑,
72', Maeda D. ↓, Kenny J. ↑,
78', Sevelj V. ↓, Eskesen J. ↑,
78', Sapsford Z. ↓, Moller N. ↑,

Preview

This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Premiership (Championship Group: ) and 7 in the zone Premiership (Relegation Group: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Celtic won 3.

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

In this match, Celtic is the clear favorite.

There will not play in Celtic: Carter-Vickers C. (Achilles Tendon Injury) Iheanacho K. (Injury) Johnston A. (Hamstring Injury) Jota (Knee Injury) Osmand C. (Hamstring Injury) Saracchi M. (Hamstring Injury)

There will not play in Dundee Utd: Pappoe I. (Knee Injury) Strain R. (Injury)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Celtic won 15 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 54:8. (average 2.7:0.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Celtic won 6 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 19:3. (average 2.7:0.4).

Outrights of Scottish Premier League for now

Celtic: 53.71% Dundee Utd: 0.6%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Celtic	7	6	0	1	14:4	10	18
5	Dundee Utd	8	3	2	3	10:11	-1	11

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Celtic
Scottish Premier League
03.01.26	Celtic - Glasgow Rangers	1:3 ✺
30.12.25	Motherwell - Celtic	2:0 ✺
27.12.25	Livingston - Celtic	2:4 ✺
21.12.25	Celtic - Aberdeen	3:1 ✺
17.12.25	Dundee United - Celtic	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.6 LLWWL
- Dundee United
Scottish Premier League
03.01.26	Dundee United - Dundee	0:1 ✺
30.12.25	Livingston - Dundee United	1:3 ✺
27.12.25	Aberdeen - Dundee United	1:1 ✺
20.12.25	Dundee United - Hibernian	1:1 ✺
17.12.25	Dundee United - Celtic	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 26.2 LWTTW

Latest Head to Head

Scottish Premier League
17.12.25	Dundee United - Celtic	2:1
26.04.25	Dundee United - Celtic	0:5
15.02.25	Celtic - Dundee United	3:0
08.01.25	Celtic - Dundee United	2:0
22.12.24	Dundee United - Celtic	0:0
29.01.23	Dundee United - Celtic	0:2
05.11.22	Celtic - Dundee United	4:2

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