Match Info

Europa League - Qualification - Final

Date: 27 August 2026, Thursday

Location: Groupama Arena (Budapest)

Referee: Obrenovic R. (Slo)

Where to Watch on TV:


Austria	Laola1
Egypt	On Time Sports 1
Germany	Laola1
Hungary	M4 Sport
Israel	5 PLUS Israel
Serbia	Arena Premium 2
Turkey	ATV
Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Ferencvárosi		Trabzonspor

	1	X	2
	3.1	3.6	2.05
	2.85	3.50	2.35
	3.35	3.45	2.02
	3.31	3.75	2.14
	3.17	3.89	2.08	Watch
	3.3	3.6	2.06
	3.36	3.75	2.14
	3.2	3.7	2.05
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.21 ↑ (2.86)	3.66 ↑ (3.58)	2.11 ↓ (2.35)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ferencvárosi
29.5%

Draw
25.8%

Trabzonspor
44.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.2%

26.5%

40.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.4%

27.2%

41.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ferencvárosi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)

Trabzonspor has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ferencvárosi than the current prediction. (+2.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Trabzonspor than the current prediction. (-3.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	12.5%	62.5%

Ferencvárosi - Trabzonspor Predictions

Users Predictions: 24 users predict this event. Ferencvárosi will win (votes: 6 - 25%). Trabzonspor will win (votes: 15 - 62.5%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 12.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Trabzonspor: 43.1% – 81.9%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Trabzonspor (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH 0, 1st Half - Trabzonspor (1.71) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DC - Trabzonspor (1.40) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 1.5 - over (1.21) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (1.57) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Trabzonspor (votes: 4 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
90. Dibusz D. (C) 54. Nagy O. 28. Raemaekers T. 4. Gomez M. 20. Cadu 6. Nagy A. 17. Corbu M. 11. Dele 16. Zachariassen K. 47. O'Dowda C. 75. Joseph L.	24. Onana A. (G) 55. Lopes Cabral S. 15. Savic S. (C) 39. Ozkacar C. 19. Eskihellac M. 17. Malinovskyi R. 57. Kabasakal M. 10. Salah M. 7. Muci E. 70. Saviolo N. 30. Onuachu P.
Substitutes
15. Arzani D. 32. Cirkovic A. 36. Kanichowsky G. 8. Keita N. 24. Kodro K. 71. Lakatos C. 10. Levi J. 76. Lisztes K. 14. Osvath A. 1. Varga A. (G) 68. Varga Zeteny I. 5. Zohore N.	4. Akaydin S. 8. Bouchouari B. 96. Colak E. (G) 77. Mimaroglu M. 49. Mitongo R. 14. Nayir U. 20. Pina W. 58. Simsir A. 11. Tufan O. 1. Yildirim A. (G)
Coaches
Borbely B.	Tekke F.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
13', Malinovskyi R. 🟥,
19', 1 - 0, O'Dowda C. ⚽, Nagy A. (A),
32', Lopes Cabral S. 🟨,
2nd Half (3 - 0)
46', Eskihellac M. ↓, Pina W. ↑,
46', Muci E. ↓, Bouchouari B. ↑,
46', Onuachu P. ↓, Simsir A. ↑,
54', 2 - 0, Corbu M. ⚽,
57', Lopes Cabral S. 🟨,
58', Onana A. 🟨,
59', 3 - 0, Dele (Penalty Awarded),
64', Salah M. ↓, Tufan O. ↑,
64', Saviolo N. ↓, Akaydin S. ↑,
70', Dele ↓, Varga Zeteny I. ↑,
70', Joseph L. ↓, Lisztes K. ↑,
78', O'Dowda C. ↓, Lakatos C. ↑,
78', Nagy A. ↓, Arzani D. ↑,
83', Corbu M. ↓, Keita N. ↑,
86', 4 - 0, Lisztes K. ⚽, Nagy O. (A),
87', Lisztes K. 🟨,

Preview

First leg result: 1-0.

Ferencvárosi is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

In recent matches, Trabzonspor has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Ferencvárosi may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Trabzonspor has had a series of home games.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Ferencvárosi won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:3. (average 1.3:1).

Including home match between the teams, Ferencvárosi won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:2.

Outrights of UEFA Europa League for now

Ferencvaros: 0.78%

Standings

League phase

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
6	Ferencvaros	1	1	0	0	3:1	2	3

Last Results with these Odds

Trabzonspor - the odds 2.35 are the expected chance of winning is 40.32%, but this team recently wins 57% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ferencvárosi TC
UEFA Europa League
20.08.26	Trabzonspor - Ferencvárosi	0:1 ✺
Hungarian NB I
17.08.26	Zalaegerszegi TE - Ferencvárosi	0:1 ✺
UEFA Europa League
13.08.26	Górnik Zabrze - Ferencvárosi	1:1 ✺
05.08.26	Ferencvárosi - Górnik Zabrze	1:0 ✺
Hungarian NB I
02.08.26	Ferencvárosi - Vasas	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.1 WWTWT
- Trabzonspor
Turkish Super League
23.08.26	Trabzonspor - İstanbul Başakşehir	2:1 ✺
UEFA Europa League
20.08.26	Trabzonspor - Ferencvárosi	0:1 ✺
Turkish Super League
15.08.26	Kasımpaşa - Trabzonspor	1:1 ✺
Club Friendly
02.08.26	Trabzonspor - Udinese	1:0 ✺
30.07.26	Trabzonspor - Al-Sadd	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 WLTWL

Latest Head to Head

UEFA Europa League
20.08.26	Trabzonspor - Ferencvárosi	0:1
03.11.22	Trabzonspor - Ferencvárosi	1:0
08.09.22	Ferencvárosi - Trabzonspor	3:2

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