The best margin for this event is 9.6%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Cenaia 13.8%
Draw 22.7%
Follonica Gavorrano 63.5%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
17.6%
24.9%
57.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
17%
24%
59.6%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Cenaia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)
Follonica Gavorrano has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Follonica Gavorrano's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cenaia than the current prediction. (+3.2%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Follonica Gavorrano than the current prediction. (-3.9%)
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Preview
An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Group E (Play Offs: )).
Cenaia is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
Follonica Gavorrano is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
Recently Follonica Gavorrano have a series of guest games.
In this match Follonica Gavorrano is absolute favorite.
Last 1 head-to-head matches Cenaia won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-4.