Match Info

ITALY: COPPA ITALIA SERIE D - SEMI-FINALS

Date: 28 February 2024, Wednesday 🏁 Finished


	Varesina		Follonica Gavorrano

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Varesina
46.5%

Draw
27.1%

Follonica Gavorrano
26.4%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

47.1%

26.6%

26.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.4%

25.4%

25.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Varesina has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

Follonica Gavorrano has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Varesina than the current prediction. (+2.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Follonica Gavorrano than the current prediction. (-1.3%)

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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1st leg.

Varesina is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Follonica Gavorrano is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Follonica Gavorrano could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Varesina will have a small advantage in this match.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- ASD Varesina
Italian Serie D - Group B
18.02.24	Folgore Caratese - Varesina	2:0 ✺
Coppa Italia Serie D
11.02.24	Union Clodiense - Varesina	0:1 penalties ✺
Italian Serie D - Group B
04.02.24	Varesina - Tritium	1:0 ✺
31.01.24	Virtus CiseranoBergamo - Varesina	2:2 ✺
27.01.24	Varesina - Casatese	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.7 LWWTW
- Follonica Gavorrano
Italian Serie D - Group E
24.02.24	Follonica Gavorrano - Seravezza Pozzi	3:0 ✺
18.02.24	Grosseto - Follonica Gavorrano	1:0 ✺
Coppa Italia Serie D
11.02.24	Casatese - Follonica Gavorrano	1:2 penalties ✺
Italian Serie D - Group E
04.02.24	Follonica Gavorrano - Vivi Altotevere Sansepolcro	0:2 ✺
28.01.24	Montevarchi - Follonica Gavorrano	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.4 WLWLT

Varesina - Follonica Gavorrano