Match Info

Serie D - Group E - Round 17

Date: 21 December 2025, Sunday


	Tau Altopascio		Follonica Gavorrano

	1	X	2
	2.02	2.92	3.65
	2.15	3.09	3.3	Watch
	2.15	2.8	3.3
	2.15	2.92	3.4
	2.14	3	3.33
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.12 ↓ (2.21)	2.95 ↓ (3.39)	3.4 ↑ (2.83)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 9.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tau Altopascio
42.6%

Draw
30.7%

Follonica Gavorrano
26.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.1%

26.8%

32.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.4%

26%

31.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tau Altopascio has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)

Follonica Gavorrano has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Follonica Gavorrano might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tau Altopascio than the current prediction. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Follonica Gavorrano than the current prediction. (+4.5%)

Tau Altopascio - Follonica Gavorrano Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (3 - 1)
16', 0 - 1, Pescicani L. ⚽,
28', 1 - 1, Borracchini N. ⚽,
40', 2 - 1, Carcani T. ⚽,
44', 3 - 1, Mocanu A. ⚽,
2nd Half (3 - 0)
50', 4 - 1, Iezzi R. ⚽,
59', 5 - 1, Omorogieva D. ⚽,
79', 6 - 1, Carcani T. ⚽,

Preview

This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Group E (Play Offs: ) and 12).

Tau is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Follonica Gavorrano has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

In this match, Tau is the team to beat.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Tau won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 5:7. (average 1:1.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Tau won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:2. (average 1:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Tau Altopascio
Italian Serie D - Group E
14.12.25	Terranuova Traiana - Tau Altopascio	1:0 ✺
07.12.25	Tau Altopascio - Poggibonsi	2:1 ✺
30.11.25	Cannara - Tau Altopascio	0:2 ✺
23.11.25	Tau Altopascio - Scandicci	2:2 ✺
16.11.25	Tau Altopascio - Camaiore	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 LWWTW
- Follonica Gavorrano
Italian Serie D - Group E
14.12.25	Follonica Gavorrano - Scandicci	1:0 ✺
07.12.25	Orvietana - Follonica Gavorrano	0:0 ✺
30.11.25	Follonica Gavorrano - Trestina	1:1 ✺
23.11.25	Camaiore - Follonica Gavorrano	1:4 ✺
16.11.25	Follonica Gavorrano - Grosseto	2:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.5 WTTWL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie D - Group E
12.05.24	Follonica Gavorrano - Tau Altopascio	1:2
03.03.24	Tau Altopascio - Follonica Gavorrano	0:1
28.10.23	Follonica Gavorrano - Tau Altopascio	1:0
08.01.23	Tau Altopascio - Follonica Gavorrano	2:1
04.09.22	Follonica Gavorrano - Tau Altopascio	3:1

Tau Altopascio - Follonica Gavorrano: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide