The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Central Córdoba 33.2%
Draw 31.1%
Defensa y Justicia 35.7%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
34%
31.9%
34%
Our Initial ML Estimation
35.8%
33.6%
32.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Central Córdoba has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)
Defensa y Justicia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Central Córdoba than the current prediction. (+2.6%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Defensa y Justicia than the current prediction. (-3.4%)
Central Córdoba - Defensa y Justicia Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Aguerre A. (C) 33. Moyano S. 2. Maciel A. R. 6. Mansilla F. 20. Martinez F. 22. Vera M. 11. Tijanovich H. 7. Barrera D. 10. Iacobellis M. 18. Gonzalez L. 47. Cuitino M.
1. Borgogno M. (G) 28. Loza V. 29. Fernandez D. 21. Martinez D. 3. Roman F. 19. Barbona D. 15. Sosa S. 8. Perez C. 26. Lucco J. 9. Fernandez L. (C) 24. Gutierrez J.
Substitutes
21. Aguilar F. 55. Cardozo J. 17. Casermeiro Y. 5. Cravero T. 29. Flores J. 3. Marchi L. 19. Naya E. 42. Pignani J. 30. Rodriguez F. 28. Sequeira L. 25. Vallejos J. (G) 9. Varaldo L.
36. Amade L. (G) 27. Blanco D. 6. Burdin E. 30. Dominguez D. 41. Gagliardi R. 17. Hausch A. 5. Lopez M. 7. Perez T. 11. Perrotta T. 22. Porcel M. 16. Portillo A. 32. Roselli N.
Coaches
Dominguez S.
Vaccari J.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
36', 0 - 1, Lucco J. ⚽, Barbona D. (A),
44', Gonzalez L. ↓, Sequeira L. ↑,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
46', Mansilla F. ↓, Casermeiro Y. ↑,
53', 0 - 2, Fernandez L. ⚽, Perez C. (A),
63', Barbona D. ↓, Porcel M. ↑,
63', Sosa S. ↓, Lopez J. ↑,
69', Tijanovich H. ↓, Varaldo L. ↑,
69', Moyano S. ↓, Marchi L. ↑,
71', 1 - 2, Iacobellis M. ⚽, Sequeira L. (A),
74', Fernandez L. 🟨,
75', Fernandez L. ↓, Perrotta T. ↑,
76', Fernandez D. ↓, Roselli N. ↑,
79', Cuitino M. ↓, Naya E. ↑,
80', Roselli N. 🟨,
87', Casermeiro Y. 🟨,
90+6', 2 - 2, Sequeira L. (Penalty Awarded),
90+12', Gutierrez J. ↓, Hausch A. ↑,
90+13', Lucco J. 🟨,
90+15', Barrera D. 🟨,
Preview
A struggling side attempts to pull off an upset against a high-flying opponent (ranked 15th and 3rd in the Promotion ~ Liga Profesional (Clausura ~ Playoffs1/8~finals)).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Central Córdoba won 2.
Central Córdoba has struggled for results with multiple recent losses (last 5 matches: 0 wins).
Defensa y Justicia shows confident form ahead of this contest (last 5 matches: 3 wins).
In this match, both teams have fairly balanced chances of victory.
Confirmed absences for Central Córdoba: Juarez F.
(Knee Injury)
Santos M.
(Inactive).
Confirmed absences for Defensa y Justicia: Banega E.
(Inactive)
Molinas A.
(Inactive)
Rodriguez M.
(Inactive)
Souto L.
(Inactive).
In the last 12 head-to-head meetings, Central Córdoba has recorded 6 wins, 4 draws, and 2 losses, with a goal aggregate of 19:14 (averaging 1.6:1.2 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Central Córdoba against this opponent, the record stands at 4 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss, with 10:6 goals (averaging 1.7:1 per game).
Outrights of Argentinian Liga Profesional for now
Defensa y Justicia: 5.36%
Last Results with these Odds
Central Córdoba - the odds 2.73 are the expected chance of winning is 34.05%, but this team recently wins 60% of matches with these odds.