Match Info

Liga Profesional - Clausura - Round 9

Date: 11 September 2026, Friday

Location: Estadio Norberto Tito Tomaghello (Gobernador Julio A. Costa)

Referee: Balino J. (Arg)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	AFA Play, HBO Max, TNT Sports
Canada	fubo Sports Network
South-america	ViX Latin America
Usa	Fanatiz, SportsEngine Play
World	TyC Sports Internacional


	Defensa y Justicia		Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza

	1	X	2
	1.96	3.6	3.7	Watch
	2.00	3.25	3.70
	2.02	3.4	3.7	Watch
	2.03	3.52	3.95
	2.04	3.44	3.69	Watch
	1.99	3.45	3.8
	2.03	3.4	3.77	Watch
	2	3.4	3.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.01 ↓ (2.24)	3.43 ↑ (3.19)	3.75 ↑ (3.36)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Defensa y Justicia
47.1%

Draw
27.6%

Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza
25.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.2%

29.6%

28.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.7%

31.4%

26.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Defensa y Justicia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.9%)

Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Defensa y Justicia than the current prediction. (-2.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza than the current prediction. (+1.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
55.6%	22.2%	22.2%

Defensa y Justicia - Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Defensa y Justicia will win (votes: 5 - 55.6%). Gimnasia Mendoza will win (votes: 2 - 22.2%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 22.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Defensa y Justicia: 23.1% – 88.1%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - over (2.12) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Borgogno M. (G) 28. Loza V. 29. Fernandez D. 21. Martinez D. 3. Roman F. 15. Sosa S. 8. Perez C. 26. Lucco J. 19. Barbona D. 24. Gutierrez J. 9. Fernandez L. (C)	23. Rigamonti C. (G) 32. Paredes L. 2. Mondino D. (C) 4. Munoz E. 3. Recalde M. 21. Antonini F. 15. Sanchez U. 7. Cingolani L. 30. Fernandez E. 26. Lencioni F. 17. Sabatini I.
Substitutes
36. Amade L. (G) 27. Blanco D. 6. Burdin E. 30. Dominguez D. 17. Hausch A. 5. Lopez J. 45. Martinez T. 7. Perez T. 11. Perrotta T. 22. Porcel M. 16. Portillo A. 32. Roselli N.	33. Andrada B. 5. Barboza N. 42. Carrera L. 19. Ceballos J. 22. Franco J. 16. Guiffrey G. 9. Modica A. 20. Ortiz T. 31. Petruchi L. (G) 11. Rodriguez S. 35. Simoni V. 8. Vargas M.
Coaches
Vaccari J.	Franco D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
11', 1 - 0, Fernandez L. ⚽, Gutierrez J. (A),
34', Lencioni F. ↓, Andrada B. ↑,
45', Martinez D. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
50', Mondino D. 🟨,
57', 2 - 0, Barbona D. ⚽, Perez C. (A),
63', Antonini F. ↓, Barboza N. ↑,
63', Fernandez E. ↓, Modica A. ↑,
63', Sanchez U. ↓, Vargas M. ↑,
66', Barbona D. ↓, Porcel M. ↑,
70', Paredes L. 🟨,
75', Cingolani L. 🟨,
76', Cingolani L. ↓, Rodriguez S. ↑,
79', Lucco J. ↓, Hausch A. ↑,
79', Fernandez L. ↓, Perrotta T. ↑,
83', Gutierrez J. ↓, Burdin E. ↑,

Preview

One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Profesional (Clausura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Profesional (Clausura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).

Currently, both teams are in excellent shape.

Defensa y Justicia is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

There will not play in Defensa y Justicia: Banega E. (Inactive) Molinas A. (Inactive) Rodriguez M. (Inactive) Souto L. (Inactive)

There will not play in Gimnasia Mendoza: Gonzales (Injury) Saavedra F. (Knee Injury)

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Defensa y Justicia won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Defensa y Justicia
Argentinian Liga Profesional
06.09.26	Lanús - Defensa y Justicia	1:0 ✺
31.08.26	Defensa y Justicia - Platense	1:0 ✺
23.08.26	Belgrano - Defensa y Justicia	1:2 ✺
17.08.26	Vélez Sársfield - Defensa y Justicia	1:1 ✺
09.08.26	Defensa y Justicia - Newells Old Boys	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 23.6 LWWTW
- Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza
Argentinian Liga Profesional
05.09.26	Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza - Boca Juniors	2:2 ✺
30.08.26	Independiente - Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza	0:3 ✺
22.08.26	Gimnasia La Plata - Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza	2:3 ✺
17.08.26	Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza - Talleres de Córdoba	3:1 ✺
08.08.26	Instituto Córdoba - Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 31.3 TWWWL

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Liga Profesional
04.05.26	Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza - Defensa y Justicia	2:1

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