The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Defensa y Justicia 37.3%
Draw 32.7%
Platense 30%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
37.6%
31.1%
31.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
37.5%
31.2%
31.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Defensa y Justicia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)
Platense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Defensa y Justicia than the current prediction. (+0.2%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Platense than the current prediction. (+1.4%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
14.3%
71.4%
14.3%
Defensa y Justicia - Platense Predictions
Users Predictions:
7 users predict this event. Defensa y Justicia will win (votes: 1 - 14.3%). Platense will win (votes: 1 - 14.3%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 71.4%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Borgogno M. (G) 28. Loza V. 29. Fernandez D. 21. Martinez D. 3. Roman F. 15. Sosa S. 24. Gutierrez J. 19. Barbona D. 8. Perez C. 11. Perrotta T. 9. Fernandez L. (C)
30. Cozzani J. (G) 4. Lagos A. 13. Vazquez I. (C) 31. Victor Cuesta 3. Silva T. 7. Mainero G. 26. Ferreira P. 24. Barrios M. 16. Togni G. 11. Lopez N. 43. Retamar K.
Substitutes
25. Altamira F. 36. Amade L. (G) 27. Blanco D. 6. Burdin E. 30. Dominguez D. 17. Hausch A. 26. Lucco J. 2. Lucero S. 45. Martinez T. 7. Perez T. 22. Porcel M. 16. Portillo A.
27. Dalmasso S. 33. Gauto J. 5. Gomez I. 23. Heredia L. 99. Lencina G. 34. Mendia M. 18. Merlini B. 29. Minerva F. 6. Raggio E. 25. Saborido J. 22. Sumavil N. (G) 10. Zapiola F.
Coaches
Vaccari J.
Palermo M.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
19', Silva T. 🟨,
26', Fernandez L. 🟨,
35', Sosa S. 🟨,
38', Perez C. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
50', Lagos A. 🟨,
61', Lopez N. ↓, Zapiola F. ↑,
61', Silva T. ↓, Saborido J. ↑,
61', Togni G. ↓, Gauto J. ↑,
66', Sosa S. ↓, Martinez T. ↑,
66', Fernandez L. ↓, Hausch A. ↑,
75', 1 - 0, Martinez D. ⚽, Barbona D. (A),
79', Barbona D. ↓, Porcel M. ↑,
84', Mainero G. ↓, Minerva F. ↑,
84', Retamar K. ↓, Lencina G. ↑,
89', Ferreira P. 🟨,
90+4', Gutierrez J. ↓, Burdin E. ↑,
90+6', Ferreira P. 🟨,
Preview
One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Profesional (Clausura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 10).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Defensa y Justicia won 2.
Right now, both teams are showing solid form.
Defensa y Justicia may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
Defensa y Justicia could have a small edge in this match.
There will not play in Defensa y Justicia: Banega E.
(Inactive)
Hausch A.
(Inactive)
Molinas A.
(Inactive)
Rodriguez M.
(Inactive)
Souto L.
(Inactive)
There will not play in Platense: Amarfil M.
(Back Injury)
Goni G.
(Achilles Tendon Injury)
Ingenthron C.
(Shoulder Injury)
Lencina G.
(Inactive)
Lotti A.
(Back Injury)
Nasif T.
(Knee Injury)
In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Defensa y Justicia won 3 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 9:8. (average 0.9:0.8).
Including home matches between the teams, Defensa y Justicia won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 8:7. (average 1.6:1.4).
Last Results with these Odds
Platense - the odds 3.02 are the expected chance of winning is 31.28%, but this team recently wins 40% of matches with these odds.