Match Info

Date: 14 July 2022, Thursday

Location: Estadio Unico Madre de Ciudades (Santiago del Estero)


	Central Córdoba		Patronato Parana

	1	X	2
	2.37	3.25	3.1	Watch
	2.3	3.1	3.1
	2.28	3.15	3.15
	2.23	3.15	3.15
	2.37	3.22	3.32
	2.3	3.35	3.16	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.31 ↑ (2.09)	3.2 ↓ (3.27)	3.16 ↓ (3.61)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Central Córdoba
40.8%

Draw
29.4%

Patronato Parana
29.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.1%

28.8%

26.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.5%

31.6%

23.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Central Córdoba has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.3%)

Patronato Parana has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Central Córdoba than the current prediction. (+8.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Central Córdoba, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Patronato Parana than the current prediction. (-6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Patronato Parana, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
29%	48.4%	22.6%

Central Córdoba - Patronato Parana Predictions

Users Predictions: 31 users predict this event. Central Córdoba will win (votes: 9 - 29%). Patronato will win (votes: 7 - 22.6%). It will Tie (votes: 15 - 48.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 30.8% – 66%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

This time we will watch a game between teams from the middle of a tournament table (ranked 16 and 20).

Central Córdoba has the most likely position - 22 (100%), has project points - 26, has currently - 26, has not chance of win league.

Patronato has the most likely position - 23 (100%), has project points - 25, has currently - 25, has not chance of win league.

Central Córdoba is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Patronato is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Patronato could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Central Córdoba will have a mini benefit in this match.

There will not play in Central Córdoba: Kaprof J. (Injury) Laba M. (Injury) Leguizamon J. (Injury) Mehring A. (Injury) Rigamonti C. (Injury)

There will not play in Patronato: Vazquez F. (Injury)

Last 4 head-to-head matches Central Córdoba won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 3-5.

Including matches at home between the teams Central Córdoba won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Central Córdoba de Santiago del Estero
Argentinian Liga Profesional
10.07.22	Estudiantes La Plata - Central Córdoba	2:2 ✺
01.07.22	Central Córdoba - Argentinos Juniors	1:2 ✺
25.06.22	Talleres de Córdoba - Central Córdoba	0:2 ✺
21.06.22	Central Córdoba - San Lorenzo	0:2 ✺
15.06.22	Banfield - Central Córdoba	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.7 TLWLL
- Patronato Parana
Argentinian Liga Profesional
09.07.22	Patronato Parana - Arsenal Sarandí	0:1 ✺
04.07.22	Newells Old Boys - Patronato Parana	2:2 ✺
27.06.22	Patronato Parana - Independiente	3:1 ✺
Copa Argentina
22.06.22	Patronato Parana - Colón	2:1 penalties ✺
Argentinian Liga Profesional
18.06.22	Sarmiento de Junín - Patronato Parana	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.7 LTWWL

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Liga Profesional
15.08.21	Patronato Parana - Central Córdoba	1:0
09.11.19	Central Córdoba - Patronato Parana	3:2
Argentinian Primera Nacional
28.08.15	Central Córdoba - Patronato Parana	0:0
12.04.15	Patronato Parana - Central Córdoba	2:0

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