The best margin for this event is 7.2%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Patronato Parana 60.9%
Draw 25.4%
Güemes 13.7%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
60.7%
25.3%
14%
Our Initial ML Estimation
63.2%
24.3%
13.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Patronato Parana has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)
Güemes has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Patronato Parana than the current prediction. (+2.3%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Güemes than the current prediction. (-0.3%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
0%
0%
0%
Patronato Parana - Güemes Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Preview
A direct clash near the foot of the table where neither side can afford to drop points (ranked 16th and 18th in the Relegation).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Patronato won 0.
Patronato has experienced an up-and-down run in recent matches (last 5 matches: 1 win).
Güemes is on a prolonged losing streak (last 5 matches: 0 wins).
Güemes could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.
The betting markets point to Patronato as the clear and undisputed favorite.
In the last 7 head-to-head meetings, Patronato has recorded 0 wins, 3 draws, and 4 losses, with a goal aggregate of 4:8 (averaging 0.6:1.1 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Patronato against this opponent, the record stands at 0 wins, 2 draws, and 1 loss, with 2:3 goals (averaging 0.7:1 per game).