The best margin for this event is 4.1%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Patronato Parana 64%
Draw 23.5%
Güemes 12.4%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
60.7%
25.3%
14%
Our Initial ML Estimation
63.2%
23.7%
13.1%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Patronato Parana has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)
Güemes has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Patronato Parana than the current prediction. (-0.8%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Güemes than the current prediction. (+0.7%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
66.7%
0%
33.3%
Patronato Parana - Güemes Predictions
Users Predictions:
3 users predict this event. Patronato will win (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Güemes will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Sosa A. (G) 2. Meritello F. 3. Piccioni S. 4. Rueda W. 6. Evangelista F. 5. Picco A. (C) 10. Barinaga J. P. 11. Pereyra V. L. 7. Attis T. 8. Soldano F. 9. Reynaga R.
1. Finochietto L. (G) 2. Gonzalez A. 3. Rizzi F. 4. Martinez M. 6. Melillan F. 8. Arnay R. 5. Baier G. 7. Juarez J. 9. Leineker C. 10. Pugliese G. 11. Ortigoza I.
Substitutes
17. Bravo B. 15. Brugevin M. 13. Diaz F. N. 18. Miro A. 14. Moreyra F. 12. Rivasseau F. (G) 20. Rivero H. 16. Salas J. 19. Salega G.
17. Carranza J. 18. Farrera S. 20. Gerez B. 19. Gerez M. 13. Guinazu L. 12. Palleres T. (G) 14. Pinto A. 15. Silisque R. 16. Veliz D.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
25', Juarez J. 🟨,
34', Martinez M. ↓, Silisque R. ↑,
35', Ortigoza I. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Attis T. ↓, Salega G. ↑,
54', Juarez J. ↓, Gerez M. ↑,
54', Arnay R. ↓, Veliz D. ↑,
56', Gerez M. 🟨,
61', Ortigoza I. ↓, Gerez B. ↑,
61', Pugliese G. ↓, Farrera S. ↑,
63', Reynaga R. ↓, Rivero H. ↑,
66', 1 - 0, Rivero H. ⚽,
71', Soldano F. ↓, Salas J. ↑,
71', Pereyra V. L. ↓, Miro A. ↑,
72', Gonzalez A. 🟨,
75', Salega G. 🟨,
81', 2 - 0, Salega G. ⚽, Miro A. (A),
87', Silisque R. 🟨,
90', Farrera S. 🟨,
90+2', Barinaga J. P. ↓, Bravo B. ↑,
Preview
A dramatic battle between two struggling sides fighting for survival points (ranked 16th and 18th in the Relegation).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Patronato won 0.
In recent outings, Patronato has recorded mixed results (last 5 matches: 1 win).
Güemes is on a prolonged losing streak (last 5 matches: 0 wins).
Patronato may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.
Patronato holds a commanding advantage according to the oddsmakers.
In the last 7 head-to-head meetings, Patronato has recorded 0 wins, 3 draws, and 4 losses, with a goal aggregate of 4:8 (averaging 0.6:1.1 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Patronato against this opponent, the record stands at 0 wins, 2 draws, and 1 loss, with 2:3 goals (averaging 0.7:1 per game).
Watch
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Sosa A. (G) 
Guinazu L. 
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