Match Info

NPL NSW - Round 14

Date: 11 May 2025, Sunday


	Central Coast Mariners U23		North West Sydney Spirit

	1	X	2
				Watch
	4.75	4.1	1.57
	4.6	4.2	1.55	Watch
	4.75	4.38	1.59
	5.01	4.42	1.57	Watch
	4.6	4	1.57
	5.11	4.3	1.49
	4.6	4.2	1.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.77 ↓ (6.77)	4.23 ↓ (5.18)	1.56 ↑ (1.31)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Central Coast Mariners U23
19.2%

Draw
21.7%

North West Sydney Spirit
59%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

13.4%

17.5%

69.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

16.4%

14.3%

56.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Central Coast Mariners U23 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Central Coast Mariners U23's performance.

North West Sydney Spirit has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and North West Sydney Spirit might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Central Coast Mariners U23 than the current prediction. (-2.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for North West Sydney Spirit than the current prediction. (-2.5%)

Central Coast Mariners U23 - North West Sydney Spirit Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. NWS Spirit (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 2)
15', 0 - 1, Arambasic M. ⚽,
23', 0 - 2, Konestabo M. S. ⚽,
44', 1 - 2, Paragalli M. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
84', Paragalli M. 🟥,
90+3', 1 - 3, Okubo Y. ⚽,

Preview

Central Coast U23 is going through a poor run of results (last 5 games: 0 wins).

NWS Spirit has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

NWS Spirit may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Central Coast U23 has had a series of away games.

In this match, NWS Spirit is a strong favorite.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Central Coast U23 won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:0.

Including home match between the teams, Central Coast U23 won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Central Coast Mariners U23
Australian NPL NSW
03.05.25	St. George City - Central Coast Mariners U23	3:2 ✺
27.04.25	Rockdale Ilinden - Central Coast Mariners U23	3:1 ✺
19.04.25	Marconi Stallions - Central Coast Mariners U23	3:0 ✺
11.04.25	Sydney FC U23 - Central Coast Mariners U23	1:0 ✺
04.04.25	St George Saints - Central Coast Mariners U23	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- North West Sydney Spirit
Australian NPL NSW
03.05.25	North West Sydney Spirit - Wollongong Wolves	1:0 ✺
26.04.25	North West Sydney Spirit - St George Saints	2:2 ✺
19.04.25	Sydney Olympic - North West Sydney Spirit	3:0 ✺
12.04.25	North West Sydney Spirit - Marconi Stallions	1:2 ✺
06.04.25	Rockdale Ilinden - North West Sydney Spirit	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.2 WTLLT

Latest Head to Head

Australian NPL NSW
29.06.24	Central Coast Mariners U23 - North West Sydney Spirit	3:0

Central Coast Mariners U23 - North West Sydney Spirit: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide