Match Info

NPL NSW - Round 24

Date: 20 July 2025, Sunday


	Central Coast Mariners U23		St George Saints

	1	X	2
	4.1	3.8	1.7
	4.15	3.95	1.62	Watch
	3.56	3.9	1.94
	3.18	3.73	2.06	Watch
	3.9	3.6	1.75
	4.31	3.95	1.63
	3.32	3.52	1.95
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.79 ↑ (3.23)	3.78 ↑ (3.5)	1.81 ↓ (1.96)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 5.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Central Coast Mariners U23
24.4%

Draw
24.5%

St George Saints
51.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

28%

25.8%

46.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32%

22.6%

40.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Central Coast Mariners U23 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)

St George Saints has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Central Coast Mariners U23 than the current prediction. (+7.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Central Coast Mariners U23, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for St George Saints than the current prediction. (-10.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for St George Saints, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Central Coast Mariners U23 - St George Saints Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 2)
3', 0 - 1, Danaskos T. ⚽,
10', 0 - 2, Poon J. ⚽,
25', 1 - 2, Mpota M. ⚽,
31', 2 - 2, Paragalli M. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
69', 3 - 2, Paragalli M. ⚽,
85', 4 - 2, Peacock N. ⚽,

Preview

An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 15 in the zone NPL NSW (Relegation) and 12).

Central Coast U23 has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).

St George Saints is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

St George Saints may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Central Coast U23 has had a series of home games.

In this match, St George Saints is a strong favorite.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Central Coast U23 won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:7. (average 1:2.3).

Including home match between the teams, Central Coast U23 won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Central Coast Mariners U23
Australian NPL NSW
13.07.25	Central Coast Mariners U23 - Sydney Olympic	1:1 ✺
06.07.25	Central Coast Mariners U23 - Sutherland Sharks	0:0 ✺
29.06.25	Central Coast Mariners U23 - Mt Druitt Town Rangers	2:0 ✺
22.06.25	Central Coast Mariners U23 - Sydney United	3:1 ✺
15.06.25	Central Coast Mariners U23 - Wollongong Wolves	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.2 TTWWL
- St George Saints
Australian NPL NSW
13.07.25	St George Saints - St. George City	1:3 ✺
05.07.25	Wollongong Wolves - St George Saints	2:1 ✺
28.06.25	St George Saints - APIA Leichhardt Tigers	2:3 ✺
21.06.25	Sutherland Sharks - St George Saints	1:1 ✺
15.06.25	St George Saints - Marconi Stallions	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 LLLTT

Latest Head to Head

Australian NPL NSW
04.04.25	St George Saints - Central Coast Mariners U23	2:0
17.08.24	St George Saints - Central Coast Mariners U23	2:0
29.05.24	Central Coast Mariners U23 - St George Saints	3:3

Central Coast Mariners U23 - St George Saints: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide