Match Info

NPL NSW - Round 27

Date: 9 August 2025, Saturday

Location: Wanderers Football Park (Sydney)


	Western Sydney Wanderers U23		St. George City

	1	X	2
				Watch
	4.75	3.9	1.6
	4.15	3.8	1.65
	4.34	4.05	1.68
	3.75	4.01	1.79	Watch
	5	3.8	1.57
	4.66	3.86	1.6	Watch
	3.8	3.65	1.78
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.35 ↑ (3.31)	3.87 ↓ (4)	1.67 ↓ (1.82)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 7.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Western Sydney Wanderers U23
21.1%

Draw
23.8%

St. George City
55.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

27.4%

22.7%

49.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.1%

22.5%

50.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Western Sydney Wanderers U23 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Western Sydney Wanderers U23's form might have worsened.

St. George City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting St. George City's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Western Sydney Wanderers U23 than the current prediction. (+6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Western Sydney Wanderers U23, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for St. George City than the current prediction. (-4.7%)

Western Sydney Wanderers U23 - St. George City Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
29', 1 - 0, Hately M. ⚽,
44', McNulty M. 🟥,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
55', 1 - 1, Monahan-Vaiika S. ⚽,

Preview

A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 14 and 9).

Western Sydney U23 is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).

St. George City is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Western Sydney U23 may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, St. George City is seen as the favorite.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Western Sydney U23 won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 0:6. (average 0:3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Western Sydney Wanderers U23
Australian NPL NSW
02.08.25	Western Sydney Wanderers U23 - Rockdale Ilinden	0:0 ✺
25.07.25	Manly United - Western Sydney Wanderers U23	3:2 ✺
18.07.25	Sydney FC U23 - Western Sydney Wanderers U23	1:2 ✺
12.07.25	Western Sydney Wanderers U23 - Marconi Stallions	0:1 ✺
04.07.25	Western Sydney Wanderers U23 - APIA Leichhardt Tigers	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9 TLWLL
- St. George City FA
Australian NPL NSW
02.08.25	St. George City - Sutherland Sharks	1:0 ✺
26.07.25	Sydney Olympic - St. George City	2:1 ✺
19.07.25	St. George City - Marconi Stallions	2:1 ✺
13.07.25	St George Saints - St. George City	1:3 ✺
05.07.25	St. George City - Mt Druitt Town Rangers	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.6 WLWWT

Latest Head to Head

Australian NPL NSW
26.04.25	St. George City - Western Sydney Wanderers U23	1:0
20.07.24	St. George City - Western Sydney Wanderers U23	5:0

Western Sydney Wanderers U23 - St. George City: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide