Match Info

ARGENTINA: LIGA PROFESIONAL - ROUND 9

Date: 3 April 2023, Monday

Location: Estadio Unico Madre de Ciudades (Santiago del Estero)

Referee: Lobo Medina L. (Arg)


	Central Córdoba		Arsenal Sarandí

	1	X	2
	2.15	3.1	3.8
	2.05	3.1	3.6
	2.15	3.2	3.65
	2.19	3.24	3.72
	2.13	3.3	3.52	Watch
	2.14	3.1	3.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.14 ↑ (1.93)	3.17 ↓ (3.22)	3.64 ↓ (4.15)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Central Córdoba
44.3%

Draw
29.8%

Arsenal Sarandí
26%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48.5%

29%

22.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.5%

30.2%

21.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Central Córdoba has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)

Arsenal Sarandí has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Central Córdoba than the current prediction. (+6.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Central Córdoba, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Arsenal Sarandí than the current prediction. (-4.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
37.5%	25%	37.5%

Central Córdoba - Arsenal Sarandí Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Central Córdoba will win (votes: 3 - 37.5%). Arsenal Sarandí will win (votes: 3 - 37.5%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Central Córdoba: 4% – 71%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

This time only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 25 and 23).

Central Córdoba has the most likely position - 28 (7.46%), project points - 31, currently - 8, a very small chance of win league (<1%).

Arsenal Sarandí has the most likely position - 28 (9.81%), project points - 30, currently - 8, a very small chance of win league (<1%).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Central Córdoba won 1.

Central Córdoba is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Arsenal Sarandí is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Arsenal Sarandí could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Central Córdoba will have a small advantage in this match.

There will not play in Central Córdoba: Laba M. (Injury) Leguizamon N. (Injury)

Last 6 head-to-head matches Central Córdoba won 1 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 12-9.

Including matches at home between the teams Central Córdoba won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 9-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Central Córdoba de Santiago del Estero
Argentinian Liga Profesional
21.03.23	Vélez Sársfield - Central Córdoba	4:0 ✺
11.03.23	Central Córdoba - Tigre	2:0 ✺
04.03.23	Platense - Central Córdoba	1:1 ✺
27.02.23	Central Córdoba - Argentinos Juniors	1:0 ✺
19.02.23	Talleres de Córdoba - Central Córdoba	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 20.7 LWTWL
- Arsenal Sarandí
Argentinian Liga Profesional
18.03.23	Arsenal Sarandí - Tigre	2:0 ✺
10.03.23	Argentinos Juniors - Arsenal Sarandí	1:1 ✺
06.03.23	Arsenal Sarandí - Belgrano	0:1 ✺
26.02.23	River Plate - Arsenal Sarandí	1:2 ✺
17.02.23	Arsenal Sarandí - Racing	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 31 WTLWL

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Liga Profesional
14.10.22	Arsenal Sarandí - Central Córdoba	2:0
Argentinian Copa de la Liga Profesional
15.04.22	Central Córdoba - Arsenal Sarandí	3:3
Argentinian Liga Profesional
29.11.21	Central Córdoba - Arsenal Sarandí	5:0
Argentinian Copa de la Liga Profesional
09.05.21	Arsenal Sarandí - Central Córdoba	1:1
Argentinian Liga Profesional
31.10.19	Arsenal Sarandí - Central Córdoba	2:2
Argentinian Primera Nacional
01.03.19	Central Córdoba - Arsenal Sarandí	1:1

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