Match Info

Liga Profesional - Apertura - Round 14

Date: 13 April 2026, Monday

Location: Estadio José Amalfitani (Buenos Aires)

Referee: Amiconi B. (Arg)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	HBO Max, TNT Sports
Usa	Fanatiz
Venezuela	Inter
World	TyC Sports Internacional


	Vélez Sársfield		Central Córdoba

	1	X	2
	1.33	4.33	11	Watch
	1.39	4.2	9.4
	1.4	4.4	10.4
	1.36	4.49	10.38
	1.36	4	9.5
	1.36	4.3	10.1	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.37 ↓ (1.75)	4.29 ↑ (3.2)	10.13 ↑ (4.95)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Vélez Sársfield
68.8%

Draw
21.9%

Central Córdoba
9.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52.6%

28.8%

18.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.6%

28.3%

18.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Vélez Sársfield has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+16.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Vélez Sársfield's performance.

Central Córdoba has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Central Córdoba might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vélez Sársfield than the current prediction. (-15.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Vélez Sársfield that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Central Córdoba than the current prediction. (+9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Central Córdoba could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
96.4%	3.6%	0%

Vélez Sársfield - Central Córdoba Predictions

Users Predictions: Vélez Sársfield will win (27 of 28 users predict this - 96.43%).
Confidence interval (95%): 89.56% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Vélez Sársfield will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Montero A. (G) 4. Garcia J. 2. Mammana E. 16. Magallan L. 3. Gomez E. (C) 50. Andrada T. 29. Aliendro R. 11. Pellegrini M. 10. Valdes D. 15. Godoy D. 23. Monzon F.	1. Aguerre A. (C) 33. Moyano S. 17. Casermeiro Y. 6. Mansilla F. 23. Quiroga A. 20. Martinez F. 22. Vera M. 5. Cravero T. 7. Barrera D. 19. Naya E. 27. Santos M.
Substitutes
35. Arias M. 5. Baeza C. 49. Dominguez D. 48. Feler L. 22. Lanzini M. 1. Marchiori T. (G) 14. Pineiro R. 6. Quiros A. 8. Robertone L. 9. Romero B. 32. Silvero T. 17. Veron A.	26. Bernabeu L. 55. Cardozo J. 29. Flores J. 39. Gerez B. 13. Gomez J. 18. Gonzalez L. 10. Iacobellis M. 37. Laprida A. 3. Marchi L. 30. Rodriguez F. 25. Vallejos J. (G) 9. Varaldo L.
Coaches
Barros Schelotto G.	Pusineri L.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
11', 1 - 0, Garcia J. ⚽, Pellegrini M. (A),
15', Martinez F. 🟨,
28', Magallan L. 🟨,
44', Andrada T. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Moyano S. ↓, Laprida A. ↑,
62', Godoy D. ↓, Robertone L. ↑,
66', Naya E. ↓, Flores J. ↑,
71', Barrera D. ↓, Marchi L. ↑,
71', Quiroga A. ↓, Iacobellis M. ↑,
74', Monzon F. ↓, Romero B. ↑,
74', Aliendro R. ↓, Baeza C. ↑,
78', Marchi L. 🟨,
85', Santos M. ↓, Varaldo L. ↑,
88', Valdes D. ↓, Lanzini M. ↑,

Preview

One of the top teams will play against one of the outsiders (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 13).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Vélez won 4.

Vélez has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Central Córdoba's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Central Córdoba may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Vélez is the obvious favorite.

There will not play in Vélez: Gordon J. (Knee Injury) Machuca I. (Suspended) Robertone L. (Inactive)

There will not play in Central Córdoba: Juarez F. (Knee Injury) Maciel A. R. (Yellow Cards) Pignani J. (Red Card) Tijanovich H. (Inactive)

There are questionable in Central Córdoba: Aguerre A. (Injury)

In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Vélez won 6 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 17:7. (average 1.7:0.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Vélez won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 11:6. (average 1.8:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Vélez Sársfield
Copa Argentina
07.04.26	Vélez Sársfield - Deportivo Armenio	4:1 ✺
Argentinian Liga Profesional
03.04.26	Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza - Vélez Sársfield	3:2 ✺
21.03.26	Vélez Sársfield - Lanús	0:1 ✺
14.03.26	Platense - Vélez Sársfield	0:2 ✺
10.03.26	Tigre - Vélez Sársfield	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.1 WLLWT
- Central Córdoba de Santiago del Estero
Argentinian Liga Profesional
05.04.26	Central Córdoba - Newells Old Boys	1:3 ✺
23.03.26	Estudiantes La Plata - Central Córdoba	5:0 ✺
17.03.26	Central Córdoba - Deportivo Riestra	1:0 ✺
12.03.26	Defensa y Justicia - Central Córdoba	1:1 ✺
28.02.26	Independiente - Central Córdoba	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.3 LLWTL

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Super Cup
06.09.25	Vélez Sársfield - Central Córdoba	2:0
Copa Argentina
11.12.24	Vélez Sársfield - Central Córdoba	0:1
Argentinian Liga Profesional
29.07.24	Central Córdoba - Vélez Sársfield	0:2
21.03.23	Vélez Sársfield - Central Córdoba	4:0
25.10.22	Vélez Sársfield - Central Córdoba	3:1
Argentinian Copa de la Liga Profesional
20.04.22	Vélez Sársfield - Central Córdoba	1:2
Argentinian Liga Profesional
19.10.21	Central Córdoba - Vélez Sársfield	1:2

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