Match Info

Torneo Betano - Apertura - Round 15

Date: 28 April 2025, Monday

Location: Estadio Unico Madre de Ciudades (Santiago del Estero)

Referee: Gariano A. (Arg)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	Disney+, ESPN Premium
Brazil	Claro TV+, Disney+, ESPN 4, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
Chile	Disney+
China	K-Ball
Colombia	Disney+
Mexico	Disney+
Peru	Disney+
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	Fanatiz
Venezuela	Disney+, Inter
World	TyC Sports Internacional


	Central Córdoba		Independiente Rivadavia

	1	X	2
	1.91	3.25	4.5	Watch
	2	2.95	4.2
	1.95	3.1	4.35	Watch
	1.98	3.22	4.84
	1.92	3.18	4.64
	2.25	3	3.4
	1.94	3.24	4.31	Watch
	1.95	3.1	4.35
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.99 ↓ (2.19)	3.13 ↓ (3.2)	4.32 ↑ (3.46)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 2.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Central Córdoba
47.7%

Draw
30.3%

Independiente Rivadavia
21.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.2%

29.5%

27.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.3%

30.3%

26.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Central Córdoba has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.5%)

Independiente Rivadavia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Independiente Rivadavia might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Central Córdoba than the current prediction. (-3.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Independiente Rivadavia than the current prediction. (+4.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
54.5%	36.4%	9.1%

Central Córdoba - Independiente Rivadavia Predictions

Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Central Córdoba will win (votes: 6 - 54.5%). Independiente R will win (votes: 1 - 9.1%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 36.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Central Córdoba: 25.1% – 83.9%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Central Córdoba (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
22. Zozaya J. (G) 33. Moyano S. 2. Abascia L. (C) 19. Rivero L. 24. Cufre B. 27. Quagliata N. 32. Galvan J. 25. Florentin Bobadilla J. I. 11. Perello M. 12. Heredia L. 7. Angulo L.	1. Centurion E. (G) 13. Osella A. 40. Villalba I. 42. Studer S. 31. Valenti M. 5. Bottari T. 25. Amarfil M. 34. Retamar K. 26. Fernandez M. 14. Gomez L. 22. Villa S. (C)
Substitutes
35. Alfonso F. 23. Bursich L. (G) 29. Cabral F. 17. Casermeiro Y. 15. Cristoforo S. 45. Funez N. 21. Glaby D. 6. Mansilla F. 3. Marchi L. 20. Martinez F. 10. Veron G. 18. Zalazar D.	29. Abecasis L. 20. Barbieri J. 21. Cardillo M. 2. Costa L. 6. Flores S. 23. Marinelli G. (G) 24. Ortega T. 4. Peinipil M. 43. Sartori F. 8. Sequeira L. 27. Souto P. 11. Tonetto D.
Coaches
De F. O.	Berti A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
33', Amarfil M. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
54', Heredia L. ↓, Veron G. ↑,
68', Florentin Bobadilla J. I. ↓, Glaby D. ↑,
68', Quagliata N. ↓, Zalazar D. ↑,
68', Perello M. ↓, Funez N. ↑,
69', Fernandez M. ↓, Costa L. ↑,
69', Retamar K. ↓, Sartori F. ↑,
70', Studer S. 🟨,
72', 1 - 0, Veron G. (Pen),
74', Osella A. ↓, Cardillo M. ↑,
74', Valenti M. ↓, Sequeira L. ↑,
76', 1 - 1, Sartori F. ⚽, Villa S. (A),
81', 1 - 2, Cardillo M. ⚽, Villalba I. (A),
83', Galvan J. ↓, Cabral F. ↑,
89', Abascia L. 🟨,
90', Villalba I. 🟨,
90+5', Gomez L. 🟨,
90+5', Angulo L. 🟨,
90+5', Gomez L. ↓, Souto P. ↑,

Preview

Let's enjoy game between two mid-table teams (ranked 10 and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Torneo Betano (Apertura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Central Córdoba won 3.

Recent matches Central Córdoba is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Independiente R is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Central Córdoba could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Central Córdoba will have a mini benefit in this match.

There will not play in Central Córdoba: Barrera D. (Inactive) Gomez I. (Inactive) Montoya L. (Knee Injury) Pillud I. . (Inactive) Trindade G. (Inactive) Varaldo L. (Knee Injury) Vega C. (Inactive)

There will not play in Independiente R: Ramis V. (Ankle Injury)

Last 7 head-to-head matches Central Córdoba won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 9:9 (average 1.3:1.3).

Including matches at home between the teams Central Córdoba won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 6:3 (average 2:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Central Córdoba de Santiago del Estero
Copa Libertadores
24.04.25	Central Córdoba - Deportivo Táchira	2:1 ✺
Argentinian Liga Profesional
18.04.25	Racing - Central Córdoba	1:0 ✺
14.04.25	Central Córdoba - Huracán Buenos Aires	1:2 ✺
Copa Libertadores
09.04.25	Flamengo - Central Córdoba	1:2 ✺
Argentinian Liga Profesional
06.04.25	Unión Santa Fe - Central Córdoba	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 28.5 WLLWL
- Independiente Rivadavia
Argentinian Liga Profesional
22.04.25	Independiente Rivadavia - Aldosivi	1:0 ✺
Copa Argentina
16.04.25	Independiente Rivadavia - Estudiantes de Caseros	1:0 ✺
Argentinian Liga Profesional
11.04.25	Banfield - Independiente Rivadavia	1:1 ✺
05.04.25	Godoy Cruz - Independiente Rivadavia	1:1 ✺
27.03.25	Independiente Rivadavia - Racing	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.9 WWTTW

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Liga Profesional
18.10.24	Central Córdoba - Independiente Rivadavia	2:0
Argentinian Primera Nacional
02.09.18	Independiente Rivadavia - Central Córdoba	2:0
19.04.17	Independiente Rivadavia - Central Córdoba	2:2
21.09.16	Central Córdoba - Independiente Rivadavia	3:0
14.02.16	Independiente Rivadavia - Central Córdoba	0:1
17.08.15	Central Córdoba - Independiente Rivadavia	1:3
29.03.15	Independiente Rivadavia - Central Córdoba	2:0

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