Match Info

Liga Profesional - Apertura - Round 15

Date: 20 April 2026, Monday

Location: Estadio Florencio Sola (Buenos Aires)

Referee: Ferreyra B. (Arg)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	ESPN Premium
Brazil	Claro TV+, Disney+, ESPN 4, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
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World	TyC Sports Internacional


	Banfield		Independiente Rivadavia

	1	X	2
	2.4	2.85	3.2
	2.55	2.92	3.05
	2.63	2.99	3.22
	2.49	2.98	3.17	Watch
	2.5	2.8	3
	2.61	2.97	3.12	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.53 ↓ (2.82)	2.92 ↓ (3.1)	3.13 ↑ (2.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 2.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Banfield
37.4%

Draw
32.4%

Independiente Rivadavia
30.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.9%

29.9%

37.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.4%

30.4%

36.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Banfield has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.5%)

Independiente Rivadavia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Independiente Rivadavia might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Banfield than the current prediction. (-4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Independiente Rivadavia than the current prediction. (+6.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Independiente Rivadavia could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
4.5%	13.6%	81.8%

Banfield - Independiente Rivadavia Predictions

Users Predictions: 22 users predict this event. Banfield will win (votes: 1 - 4.5%). Independiente R will win (votes: 18 - 81.8%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 13.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Independiente R: 65.7% – 97.9%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH 0 - Independiente R (2.05) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Independiente Rivadavia will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 6 Selected Experts predict this event. Independiente R (votes: 6 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Sanguinetti F. (C) 24. Lopez S. 2. Arboleda D. 14. Vittor S. 6. Meriano N. 27. Abraham I. 40. Zalazar D. 35. Pais N. 10. Gomez L. 16. Mendez M. 17. Perrotta T.	30. Bolcato N. (G) 36. Bonifacio E. 40. Villalba I. (C) 13. Osella A. 3. Elordi J. M. 25. Florentin Bobadilla J. I. 11. Rios G. 8. Bucca L. 19. Atencio R. 27. Crego D. 43. Sartori F.
Substitutes
4. Alfaro J. L. 11. Alvarez F. 30. Anselmo F. 19. Colazo N. 34. Daniele S. 5. Esquivel S. 33. Moreno N. 7. Pinero L. 77. Rodriguez T. 25. Santilli G. (G) 9. Sepulveda B. 21. Villegas L.	9. Arce A. 5. Bottari T. 2. Costa L. 17. Dadin B. 14. Gomez L. 21. Gomez Riga E. F. (G) 7. Ramis V. 20. Riep A. 45. Sabato L. 42. Studer S. 32. Vazquez K. A. 22. Villa S.
Coaches
Troglio P.	Berti A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
25', Arboleda D. ↓, Daniele S. ↑,
26', Daniele S. 🟨,
31', Osella A. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
54', Pais N. 🟨,
63', Zalazar D. ↓, Moreno N. ↑,
63', Pais N. ↓, Villegas L. ↑,
64', Crego D. ↓, Villa S. ↑,
64', Bucca L. ↓, Arce A. ↑,
67', Bonifacio E. ↓, Gomez L. ↑,
78', Perrotta T. ↓, Anselmo F. ↑,
78', Gomez L. ↓, Pinero L. ↑,
83', Rios G. ↓, Bottari T. ↑,
83', Sartori F. ↓, Dadin B. ↑,

Preview

This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 12 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).

Independiente R is Qualified for Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs 1/8~finals)

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Banfield won 4.

In recent matches, Banfield has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Independiente R is showing excellent form with consecutive wins (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Banfield may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

There will not play in Banfield: Adoryan T. (Inactive) Esquivel S. (Inactive) Oviedo B. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Independiente R: Fernandez M. (Yellow Cards) Macagno R. (Injury)

In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Banfield won 7 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 18:8. (average 2:0.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Banfield won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 10:2. (average 2.5:0.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CA Banfield
Argentinian Liga Profesional
13.04.26	Lanús - Banfield	1:0 ✺
06.04.26	Argentinos Juniors - Banfield	3:2 ✺
Copa Argentina
25.03.26	Banfield - Real Pilar	3:0 ✺
Argentinian Liga Profesional
20.03.26	Banfield - Tigre	1:0 ✺
14.03.26	Rosario Central - Banfield	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 LLWWL
- Independiente Rivadavia
Copa Libertadores
15.04.26	Fluminense - Independiente Rivadavia	1:2 ✺
Argentinian Liga Profesional
11.04.26	Independiente Rivadavia - Argentinos Juniors	3:1 ✺
Copa Libertadores
07.04.26	Independiente Rivadavia - Bolívar	1:0 ✺
Argentinian Liga Profesional
02.04.26	Tigre - Independiente Rivadavia	0:2 ✺
22.03.26	Independiente Rivadavia - Rosario Central	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 31.5 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Liga Profesional
18.10.25	Independiente Rivadavia - Banfield	1:2
11.04.25	Banfield - Independiente Rivadavia	1:1
23.09.24	Banfield - Independiente Rivadavia	2:0
Copa Argentina
30.05.24	Independiente Rivadavia - Banfield	1:2
Argentinian Copa de la Liga Profesional
31.03.24	Independiente Rivadavia - Banfield	1:2
Argentinian Primera Nacional
03.05.14	Banfield - Independiente Rivadavia	4:0
04.11.13	Independiente Rivadavia - Banfield	3:0

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