Match Info

Primera Nacional - Round 10

Date: 12 April 2025, Saturday

Location: Estadio Padre Ernesto Martearena (Salta)

Referee: Llobet F. (Arg)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	TyC Sports Play


	Central Norte		Nueva Chicago

	1	X	2
	2.38	2.9	3.3	Watch
	2.25	2.85	3.25
	2.25	2.9	3.45	Watch
	2.32	2.84	3.55	Watch
	2.25	2.88	3.4
	2.28	2.84	3.42
	2.25	2.9	3.45
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.28 ↑ (2.03)	2.87 ↓ (3.02)	3.4 ↓ (3.89)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Central Norte
40.6%

Draw
32.2%

Nueva Chicago
27.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.5%

30.7%

23.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.2%

29.8%

24.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Central Norte has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.9%)

Nueva Chicago has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Central Norte than the current prediction. (+3.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nueva Chicago than the current prediction. (-2.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	50%	25%

Central Norte - Nueva Chicago Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Central Norte will win (votes: 1 - 25%). Nueva Chicago will win (votes: 1 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 50%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Gonzalez A. (G) 11. Acosta R. 6. Alvacete J. 10. Banega T. 9. Bianciotti A. 7. Ferreyra L. 5. Gimenez E. (C) 2. Gonzalez C. 4. Rinaudo S. 8. Romero F. 3. Sanchez M.	1. Ferrero F. (G) 2. Callegari S. (C) 10. Fernandez G. 9. Maggi I. 4. Martinez A. 7. Molinas I. A. 11. Montenegro M. 8. Motroni J. 5. Muscia G. 3. Rizzi F. 6. Soto G.
Substitutes
17. Blanco E. J. 18. Lesman G. 20. Magno D. 16. Moravec M. 13. Paparelli R. 15. Ribero M. 12. Rodriguez L. G. (G) 14. Sanz P. 19. Tisera F.	17. Almaraz A. 13. Arroyo D. 12. Diaz L. (G) 18. Eseiza J. 15. Mendez E. 19. Rodriguez I. 14. Rodriguez J. 16. Rodriguez T. 20. Roldan N.
Coaches
Riggio V.	Perazzo W

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
20', Bianciotti A. 🟨,
24', Ferreyra L. 🟨,
24', Martinez A. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
56', Molinas I. A. ↓, Mendez E. ↑,
56', Montenegro M. ↓, Eseiza J. ↑,
60', Romero F. ↓, Lesman G. ↑,
60', Bianciotti A. ↓, Moravec M. ↑,
67', 1 - 0, Lesman G. ⚽, Gimenez E. (A),
76', Banega T. ↓, Sanz P. ↑,
76', Acosta R. ↓, Ribero M. ↑,
77', Fernandez G. ↓, Roldan N. ↑,
77', Martinez A. ↓, Rodriguez I. ↑,
78', Motroni J. 🟨,
88', 1 - 1, Maggi I. (Pen),
88', Rinaudo S. 🟨,
89', Sanchez M. 🟨,
90+1', Sanchez M. ↓, Magno D. ↑,

Preview

The game will be played between two neighbours in a tournament table (ranked 13 and 15).

The game of competitors is shaky now.

Central Norte could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Central Norte will have a small advantage in this match.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CA Central Norte
Argentinian Primera Nacional
06.04.25	Central Norte - Almirante Brown	2:1 ✺
29.03.25	Chaco For Ever - Central Norte	1:0 ✺
23.03.25	Central Norte - Mitre	0:2 ✺
15.03.25	Colón - Central Norte	2:0 ✺
09.03.25	Central Norte - Temperley	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.3 WLLLW
- CA Nueva Chicago
Argentinian Primera Nacional
05.04.25	Nueva Chicago - Talleres de Remedios de Escalada	2:0 ✺
22.03.25	Nueva Chicago - Estudiantes de Río Cuarto	1:2 ✺
15.03.25	Chaco For Ever - Nueva Chicago	2:1 ✺
10.03.25	Nueva Chicago - Defensores de Belgrano	0:0 ✺
02.03.25	Mitre - Nueva Chicago	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.4 WLLTW

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