The best margin for this event is 3.5%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Central Norte 42.9%
Draw 34.5%
Almirante Brown 22.6%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
35.9%
36%
28.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
34.9%
37%
28.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Central Norte has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Central Norte's performance.
Almirante Brown has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.5%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Almirante Brown might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Central Norte than the current prediction. (-8%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Central Norte that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Almirante Brown than the current prediction. (+6.3%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Almirante Brown could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Central Norte - Almirante Brown Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Hass F. (G) 4. Rosales M. 6. Lamosa A. 2. Calderon E. 3. Sanz P. 5. Villarreal M. (C) 7. Vedoya F. 8. Mancuso G. 10. Quiroga S. 11. Bodencer E. 9. Borda F.
1. Galvan B. (G) 4. Abreliano M. 2. Cardozo E. 6. Cabral G. (C) 3. Alegre Rojas G. 5. Jara L. 8. Villoldo T. 7. Flores G. 11. Santiago M. 10. Pascual L. 9. Zanotti M.
Substitutes
15. Aleo A. 16. Bustinduy A. 20. Castro T. 14. Felissia L. 18. Mateo J. 17. Moravec M. 13. Pucheta A. 12. Vazquez E. (G) 19. Vidal P.
20. Almada T. 12. Bottini A. (G) 16. Gauna S. 13. Levi M. 19. Lopez J. 18. Martinez E. 17. Moreyra G. 15. Velazquez J. 14. Velurtas P.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
30', Villoldo T. 🟨,
32', Alegre Rojas G. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
47', Mancuso G. 🟨,
56', Cardozo E. 🟨,
60', Villarreal M. 🟨,
66', Mancuso G. ↓, Castro T. ↑,
67', Santiago M. 🟨,
71', Zanotti M. ↓, Martinez E. ↑,
71', Jara L. ↓, Gauna S. ↑,
71', Rosales M. 🟨,
74', Bodencer E. ↓, Moravec M. ↑,
75', Flores G. ↓, Almada T. ↑,
81', Rosales M. ↓, Felissia L. ↑,
81', Quiroga S. ↓, Bustinduy A. ↑,
85', Pascual L. ↓, Velazquez J. ↑,
85', Santiago M. ↓, Moreyra G. ↑,
Preview
An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 15 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera Nacional (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )).
Recent performances by Central Norte have been up and down (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Almirante Brown is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
Central Norte may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
Central Norte could have a small edge in this match.
In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Central Norte won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 2:2. (average 0.7:0.7).
Including home match between the teams, Central Norte won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.
Last Results with these Odds
Central Norte - the odds 2.53 are the expected chance of winning is 35.88%, but this team recently wins 63% of matches with these odds.
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