The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Centro Español 68.5%
Draw 20.4%
Puerto Nuevo 11%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
47.8%
29.1%
23.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
51.3%
27.1%
21.6%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Centro Español has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+20.7%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Centro Español's performance.
Puerto Nuevo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12.1%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Puerto Nuevo might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Centro Español than the current prediction. (-17.2%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Centro Español that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Puerto Nuevo than the current prediction. (+10.6%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Puerto Nuevo could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Centro Español - Puerto Nuevo Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 2)
15', 0 - 1, Monzon D. M. ⚽,
32', 🟥,
38', Forgaral A. (Penalty Awarded),
43', 0 - 2, Cahiza I. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
90+3', 1 - 2, Severini J. ⚽,
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Centro Español won 2.
In recent outings, Centro Español has recorded mixed results (last 5 matches: 2 wins).
Puerto Nuevo has suffered a run of successive defeats (last 5 matches: 0 wins).
Centro Español may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.
In this matchup, Centro Español is considered the favorite to take the win.
In the last 17 head-to-head meetings, Centro Español has recorded 7 wins, 5 draws, and 5 losses, with a goal aggregate of 17:16 (averaging 1:0.9 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Centro Español against this opponent, the record stands at 3 wins, 4 draws, and 1 loss, with 8:7 goals (averaging 1:0.9 per game).
Last Results with these Odds
Puerto Nuevo - the odds 3.85 are the expected chance of winning is 23.08%, but this team recently wins 38% of matches with these odds.
Argentina
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