Match Info

Jupiler Pro League - Round 4

Date: 30 August 2026, Sunday

Location: Planet Group Arena (Gent)

Referee: Lambrechts E. (Bel)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	DAZN
Austria	Laola1
Belgium	DAZN Pro League 1
Bolivia	DAZN
Denmark	DAZN
Ecuador	DAZN
Finland	DAZN
Germany	Laola1
Paraguay	DAZN
Sweden	DAZN
United-kingdom	DAZN
Uruguay	DAZN
Usa	SportsEngine Play
Venezuela	DAZN


	Gent		Club Brugge

	1	X	2
	4.75	3.75	1.62	Watch
	4.75	4.00	1.68
	5.00	3.75	1.65	Watch
	5.09	4.03	1.70
	4.68	4.11	1.68	Watch
	5.05	4.00	1.66
	4.81	3.99	1.70	Watch
	4.80	3.85	1.69
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.87 ↑ (3.99)	3.94 ↓ (4.07)	1.67 ↓ (1.78)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gent
19.4%

Draw
24%

Club Brugge
56.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

23.7%

23.2%

53.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

22.7%

24.2%

55.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gent has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.3%)

Club Brugge has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gent than the current prediction. (+3.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Club Brugge than the current prediction. (-1.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Gent - Club Brugge Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Brugge (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 3 - over (1.87) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -0.75 - Brugge (1.80) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Club Brugge will win (11 of 11 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Brugge (votes: 3 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
33. Roef D. (C) 14. Wilson K. 16. Burgess C. 5. Ngom M. 20. Araujo T. 22. Lopes L. 44. Van Der Heyden S. 17. Delorge M. 8. Benes L. 47. Vergara J. 11. Sonko M.	1. Sommer Y. (G) 64. Sabbe K. 3. Lee Han-Beom 44. Mechele B. 65. Seys J. 8. Potts F. 20. Vanaken H. (C) 9. Forbs C. 10. Vetlesen H. 67. Diakhon M. 7. Tresoldi N.
Substitutes
7. Balikwisha M. 75. Cisse I. 56. Diallo M. 37. Kadri A. 10. Omgba A. 3. Paskotsi M. 30. Peersman K. (G) 59. Seck E. H. 57. Volckaert M.	54. Coulibaly S. 29. Jackers N. (G) 80. Lemarechal F. 41. Siquet H. 16. Tsawa C. 77. Vasovic A. 93. Verlinden W. 17. Vermant R. 11. Virgili J.
Coaches
De Mil R.	Leko I.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
16', Wilson K. 🟨,
38', 1 - 0, Vergara J. ⚽, Araujo T. (A),
40', 1 - 1, Vanaken H. ⚽, Forbs C. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Wilson K. ↓, Volckaert M. ↑,
51', Lopes L. 🟨,
66', Sonko M. ↓, Seck E. H. ↑,
66', Vergara J. ↓, Cisse I. ↑,
66', Diakhon M. ↓, Virgili J. ↑,
66', Vetlesen H. ↓, Lemarechal F. ↑,
67', Potts F. 🟨,
70', Forbs C. 🟥,
75', Mechele B. 🟨,
81', Cisse I. 🟨,
82', Sabbe K. ↓, Siquet H. ↑,
82', Delorge M. ↓, Balikwisha M. ↑,
82', Benes L. ↓, Omgba A. ↑,
85', 2 - 1, Cisse I. ⚽, Volckaert M. (A),
86', Potts F. ↓, Vermant R. ↑,
87', Seys J. 🟨,
90+4', Cisse I. 🟥,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Gent won 0.

Gent is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

In recent matches, Brugge has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Gent may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Brugge is considered a favorite.

There will not play in Gent: Samoise M. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Brugge: Ordonez J. (Foot Injury)

There are questionable in Gent: Goore H. (Injury)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Gent won 7 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 24:36. (average 1.2:1.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Gent won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 12:17. (average 1.2:1.7).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Gent	8	7	1	0	15:4	11	22
2	Club Brugge KV	8	7	0	1	19:4	15	21

Last Results with these Odds

Gent - the odds 3.99 are the expected chance of winning is 23.67%, but this team recently wins 14% of matches with these odds.

Club Brugge - the odds 1.78 are the expected chance of winning is 53.15%, but this team recently wins 67% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AA Gent
UEFA Europa Conference League
27.08.26	Hibernian - Gent	2:3 ✺
20.08.26	Gent - Hibernian	0:0 ✺
Belgian Jupiler Pro League
16.08.26	RAAL La Louvière - Gent	1:2 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
13.08.26	Gent - IFK Göteborg	1:1 ✺
Belgian Jupiler Pro League
09.08.26	Gent - KV Mechelen	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.1 WTWTW
- Club Brugge
Belgian Jupiler Pro League
23.08.26	Club Brugge - Cercle Brugge	1:0 ✺
15.08.26	Oud-Heverlee Leuven - Club Brugge	0:3 ✺
07.08.26	Club Brugge - Kortrijk	3:0 ✺
Belgian Super Cup
31.07.26	Club Brugge - Saint-Gilloise	1:2 penalties ✺
Club Friendly
25.07.26	Rennes - Club Brugge	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.1 WWWLL

Latest Head to Head

Belgian Jupiler Pro League
24.05.26	Club Brugge - Gent	5:0
26.04.26	Gent - Club Brugge	0:2
21.12.25	Club Brugge - Gent	2:1
31.08.25	Gent - Club Brugge	1:1
01.05.25	Club Brugge - Gent	4:1
20.04.25	Gent - Club Brugge	0:5
01.03.25	Gent - Club Brugge	1:1

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