Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 5 - Round 25

Date: 8 March 2026, Sunday


	Cerdanyola del Vallès		Vilanova

	1	X	2
	2.82	2.88	2.42
	2.93	3.04	2.42
	2.89	3.06	2.41
	2.75	2.9	2.4
	2.94	2.93	2.38
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.87 ↓ (3.15)	2.96 ↓ (3)	2.41 ↑ (2.28)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cerdanyola del Vallès
31.7%

Draw
30.6%

Vilanova
37.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

29.1%

30.6%

40.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28%

29.4%

41.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cerdanyola del Vallès has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)

Vilanova has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cerdanyola del Vallès than the current prediction. (-3.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vilanova than the current prediction. (+4.2%)

Cerdanyola del Vallès - Vilanova Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
49', 1 - 0, ⚽,
90+7', 🟥,
90+8', 🟥,

Preview

Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 5 (Play Offs: )).

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

Vilanova may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Vilanova is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Cerdanyola won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	CF Vilanova	4	2	2	0	7:5	2	8
13	Cerdanyola	4	1	2	1	4:5	-1	5

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Cerdanyola del Vallès FC
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 5
01.03.26	LEscala - Cerdanyola del Vallès	1:1 ✺
22.02.26	Cerdanyola del Vallès - Vilassar de Mar	1:0 ✺
15.02.26	Mollerussa - Cerdanyola del Vallès	3:2 ✺
08.02.26	Cerdanyola del Vallès - San Cristóbal	2:0 ✺
31.01.26	Cornellà - Cerdanyola del Vallès	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.9 TWLWL
- CF Vilanova
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 5
04.03.26	Vilanova - Peralada	2:1 ✺
21.02.26	Vic - Vilanova	1:0 ✺
14.02.26	Vilanova - LHospitalet	2:1 ✺
08.02.26	Manresa - Vilanova	1:0 ✺
31.01.26	Vilanova - CE Europa B	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 WLWLW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 5
25.10.25	Vilanova - Cerdanyola del Vallès	2:0

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