Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 5 - Round 21

Date: 8 February 2026, Sunday


	Manresa		Vilanova

	1	X	2
	2.08	2.92	3.45
	2.08	3.15	3.48
	2.09	3.13	3.48
	2.1	2.88	3.4
	2.09	2.96	3.5
	2.12	2.9	3.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.09 ↓ (2.1)	2.99 ↓ (3)	3.47 ↑ (3.46)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Manresa
43.4%

Draw
30.4%

Vilanova
26.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.3%

30.3%

26.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44%

29.8%

25.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Manresa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

Vilanova has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Manresa than the current prediction. (+0.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vilanova than the current prediction. (-0.3%)

Manresa - Vilanova Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
35', 1 - 0, Matheus Teixeira ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 5 (Play Offs: ) and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 5 (Play Offs: )).

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

Manresa may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Manresa is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Manresa won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	CF Vilanova	4	2	2	0	7:5	2	8

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CE Manresa
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 5
01.02.26	LEscala - Manresa	0:3 ✺
25.01.26	Manresa - Vilassar de Mar	1:0 ✺
18.01.26	Mollerussa - Manresa	2:1 ✺
11.01.26	San Cristóbal - Manresa	3:3 ✺
04.01.26	Manresa - Cornellà	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.1 WWLTT
- CF Vilanova
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 5
31.01.26	Vilanova - CE Europa B	3:0 ✺
25.01.26	Grama - Vilanova	0:0 ✺
18.01.26	Vilanova - Tona	0:1 ✺
11.01.26	Vilanova - Lleida	3:1 ✺
04.01.26	Can Vidalet - Vilanova	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 WTLWT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 5
28.09.25	Vilanova - Manresa	1:0

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