Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 5 - Round 27

Date: 22 March 2026, Sunday


	Cerdanyola del Vallès		Tona

	1	X	2
	2.45	2.85	2.75
	2.52	2.92	2.72
	2.46	2.87	2.91
	2.54	3.05	2.78	Watch
	2.4	2.88	2.9
	2.45	2.85	2.92
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.47 ↓ (2.6)	2.9 ↓ (3)	2.83 ↑ (2.6)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cerdanyola del Vallès
36.7%

Draw
31.2%

Tona
32%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.9%

30.2%

34.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.6%

30.5%

35.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cerdanyola del Vallès has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)

Tona has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cerdanyola del Vallès than the current prediction. (-2.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tona than the current prediction. (+3.2%)

Cerdanyola del Vallès - Tona Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 1)
51', 0 - 1, ⚽,
76', 1 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 13 and 8).

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

Cerdanyola may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Cerdanyola won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 2:2. (average 0.7:0.7).

Including home match between the teams, Cerdanyola won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
13	Cerdanyola	4	1	2	1	4:5	-1	5
17	UE Tona	5	1	0	4	4:9	-5	3

Last Results with these Odds

Cerdanyola del Vallès - the odds 2.6 are the expected chance of winning is 34.88%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.

Tona - the odds 2.6 are the expected chance of winning is 34.88%, but this team recently wins 57% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Cerdanyola del Vallès FC
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 5
14.03.26	Lleida - Cerdanyola del Vallès	1:1 ✺
08.03.26	Cerdanyola del Vallès - Vilanova	1:0 ✺
01.03.26	LEscala - Cerdanyola del Vallès	1:1 ✺
22.02.26	Cerdanyola del Vallès - Vilassar de Mar	1:0 ✺
15.02.26	Mollerussa - Cerdanyola del Vallès	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.4 TWTWL
- UE Tona
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 5
15.03.26	Tona - Peralada	0:0 ✺
11.03.26	Tona - LHospitalet	4:1 ✺
08.03.26	Vic - Tona	1:2 ✺
21.02.26	Manresa - Tona	1:0 ✺
15.02.26	Tona - CE Europa B	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.9 TWWLT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 5
09.11.25	Tona - Cerdanyola del Vallès	1:2
10.05.25	Tona - Cerdanyola del Vallès	1:0
12.01.25	Cerdanyola del Vallès - Tona	0:0

Cerdanyola del Vallès - Tona: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide