Match Info

ITALY: SERIE D - GROUP D - ROUND 13

Date: 26 November 2023, Sunday


	Progresso		AC Carpi

	1	X	2
	3.9	3.3	1.75
	3.75	3.4	1.78
	3.75	3.4	1.79
	4	3.4	1.73
	4.05	3.5	1.76
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.89 ↓ (4.25)	3.4 ↓ (3.44)	1.76 ↑ (1.74)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 10.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Progresso
23%

Draw
26.3%

AC Carpi
50.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

21.4%

26.4%

52.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

20.9%

25.8%

53.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Progresso has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)

AC Carpi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Progresso than the current prediction. (-2.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for AC Carpi than the current prediction. (+2.8%)

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Preview

Let's watch a game between leader and an outsider (ranked 15 in the zone Serie D ~ Group D (Play Out: ) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Group D (Play Offs: )).

Progresso is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Carpi is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

In this match Carpi is a favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SCD Progresso Calcio
Italian Serie D - Group D
19.11.23	Corticella - Progresso	0:2 ✺
12.11.23	Progresso - Victor San Marino	0:2 ✺
01.11.23	Progresso - Lentigione	0:2 ✺
28.10.23	Pistoiese - Progresso	2:1 ✺
22.10.23	Progresso - Cavenago Fanfulla	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.7 WLLLL
- AC Carpi
Italian Serie D - Group D
19.11.23	AC Carpi - Aglianese	1:0 ✺
12.11.23	Mezzolara - AC Carpi	0:4 ✺
05.11.23	Ravenna - AC Carpi	3:0 ✺
01.11.23	AC Carpi - Sangiuliano City Nova	2:2 ✺
29.10.23	Corticella - AC Carpi	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 WWLTL

Progresso - AC Carpi: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide