Match Info

ITALY: SERIE D - GROUP D - ROUND 14

Date: 3 December 2023, Sunday


	AC Carpi		Sammaurese

	1	X	2
	1.73	3.3	4.1
	1.76	3.45	3.89
	1.77	3.45	3.89
	1.7	3.3	4
	1.74	3.54	4.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.74 ↓ (2.02)	3.41 ↑ (3.25)	4 ↑ (3.33)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 10.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

AC Carpi
51.4%

Draw
26.2%

Sammaurese
22.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.9%

27.9%

27.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.9%

27.3%

26.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

AC Carpi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in AC Carpi's performance.

Sammaurese has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for AC Carpi than the current prediction. (-5.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with AC Carpi that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sammaurese than the current prediction. (+4.2%)

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Preview

Let's enjoy game between two mid-table teams (ranked 7 and 13 in the zone Serie D ~ Group D (Play Out: )).

Recent matches Carpi is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Sammaurese is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

In this match Carpi is a favorite.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Carpi won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 2-4.

Including matches at home between the teams Carpi won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AC Carpi
Italian Serie D - Group D
26.11.23	Progresso - AC Carpi	1:0 ✺
19.11.23	AC Carpi - Aglianese	1:0 ✺
12.11.23	Mezzolara - AC Carpi	0:4 ✺
05.11.23	Ravenna - AC Carpi	3:0 ✺
01.11.23	AC Carpi - Sangiuliano City Nova	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 LWWLT
- AC Sammaurese
Italian Serie D - Group D
26.11.23	Sammaurese - Aglianese	0:2 ✺
19.11.23	Victor San Marino - Sammaurese	1:0 ✺
12.11.23	Sammaurese - Ravenna	0:2 ✺
05.11.23	Lentigione - Sammaurese	3:2 ✺
01.11.23	Sammaurese - Corticella	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 LLLLW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie D - Group D
29.01.23	AC Carpi - Sammaurese	2:3
28.09.22	Sammaurese - AC Carpi	1:0

AC Carpi - Sammaurese: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide