Match Info

Date: 21 October 2020, Wednesday


	Cesena		Fano

	1	X	2
	2.37	3	3
	2.35	2.95	2.9	Watch
	2.4	2.88	2.88
	2.42	2.85	2.85
	2.27	2.95	3.06
	2.4	3	3
	2.36	3.18	2.91	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.37 ↑ (2.15)	2.97 ↓ (3)	2.94 ↓ (3.2)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cesena
38.5%

Draw
30.6%

Fano
30.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.9%

30%

28.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.1%

21.6%

20.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cesena has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)

Fano has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cesena than the current prediction. (+19.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Cesena, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fano than the current prediction. (-10.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Fano, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Cesena - Fano Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Limited number of spectators.

Team outsider and a mid-table team will meet during this match (ranked 11 and 16 in the zone Serie C to Play Out).

Recent matches Cesena is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Fano is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Cesena will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Cesena won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-4.

Including matches at home between the teams Cesena won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AC Cesena
Italian Serie C Group B
18.10.20	Gubbio - Cesena	1:2 ✺
11.10.20	Cesena - FeralpiSalò	2:4 ✺
08.10.20	Perugia - Cesena	1:2 ✺
04.10.20	Cesena - Triestina	0:2 ✺
27.09.20	Virtus Verona - Cesena	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.8 WLWLT
- Alma Juventus Fano 1906
Italian Serie C Group B
18.10.20	Fano - Imolese	1:2 ✺
11.10.20	Fano - Sambenedettese	0:2 ✺
07.10.20	Carpi - Fano	0:0 ✺
04.10.20	Fano - Padova	1:1 ✺
27.09.20	Perugia - Fano	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.8 LLTTT

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie C Group B
07.12.19	Cesena - Fano	0:4
Club Friendly
29.07.17	Cesena - Fano	1:0

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