Match Info

ITALY: SERIE C - GROUP B - ROUND 12

Date: 5 November 2023, Sunday

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	Sky Sport


	Gubbio		Cesena

	1	X	2
	3.2	2.85	2.15
	3.3	3	2.25	Watch
	3.31	3	2.21
	3.31	3	2.21
	3.3	2.9	2.15
	3.25	2.96	2.19
	3.3	2.95	2.17
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.28 ↑ (3.04)	2.95 ↓ (3.08)	2.19 ↓ (2.23)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gubbio
27.7%

Draw
30.8%

Cesena
41.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

29.8%

29.5%

40.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.2%

28.9%

41.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gubbio has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)

Cesena has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gubbio than the current prediction. (+1.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cesena than the current prediction. (+0.1%)

Gubbio - Cesena Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
22. Vettorel T. (G) 4. Tozzuolo A. 15. Signorini A. (C) 23. Dimarco C. 3. Mercadante M. 5. Mercati A. 10. Bulevardi D. 19. Morelli G. 28. Spina M. 7. Di Massimo A. 11. Udoh P.	1. Pisseri M. (G) 15. Ciofi A. 19. Prestia G. 28. Silvestri L. 17. Adamo E. 70. Francesconi M. 20. De Rose F. (C) 7. Donnarumma D. 6. Bumbu J. 10. Kargbo A. 18. Corazza S.
Substitutes
33. Brogni G. 6. Casolari F. 21. Corsinelli F. 38. Di Gianni V. 27. Frey D. 77. Greco S. (G) 25. Guerrini V. 9. Montevago D. 31. Pirrello R. 8. Rosaia G. 1. Stacchiotti S.	14. Berti T. 4. Chiarello R. 25. David A. 30. Giovannini A. 11. Ogunseye R. 73. Pieraccini S. 24. Pierozzi E. 3. Pitti E. 9. Shpendi C. 61. Siano A. (G) 34. Veliaj G. (G)

Preview

One of the most exciting matches of the day will feature two top-of-the-table teams (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Gubbio won 1.

Recent matches Gubbio is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Cesena is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Gubbio could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Last 7 head-to-head matches Gubbio won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 7-11.

Including matches at home between the teams Gubbio won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 6-6.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AS Gubbio 1910
Italian Serie C Group B
30.10.23	Arezzo - Gubbio	1:0 ✺
25.10.23	Gubbio - Juventus U23	1:1 ✺
22.10.23	Gubbio - Olbia	1:0 ✺
15.10.23	Virtus Entella - Gubbio	2:1 ✺
09.10.23	Gubbio - Carrarese	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 LTWLW
- AC Cesena
Italian Serie C Group B
30.10.23	Cesena - Carrarese	2:1 ✺
22.10.23	Pineto - Cesena	1:1 ✺
15.10.23	Cesena - Sestri Levante	2:2 ✺
09.10.23	Arezzo - Cesena	0:2 ✺
01.10.23	Cesena - Rimini	5:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 WTTWW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie C Group B
11.03.23	Gubbio - Cesena	1:1
05.11.22	Cesena - Gubbio	3:0
22.12.21	Gubbio - Cesena	4:1
29.08.21	Cesena - Gubbio	0:0
31.03.21	Cesena - Gubbio	2:1
18.10.20	Gubbio - Cesena	1:2
17.11.19	Gubbio - Cesena	0:2

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