Match Info

ITALY: SERIE C - GROUP B - ROUND 19

Date: 23 December 2023, Saturday

Location: Stadio Renato Curi (Perugia)


	Perugia		Cesena

	1	X	2
	4	3.2	1.78
	4.5	3.3	1.8	Watch
	4.3	3.31	1.83
	4.21	3.31	1.83
	4.2	3.2	1.8
	4.2	3.24	1.8
	3.95	3.25	1.86
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.19 ↑ (3.52)	3.26 ↑ (3.1)	1.81 ↓ (2.08)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Perugia
21.7%

Draw
28%

Cesena
50.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

26.2%

29.7%

44.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

25.5%

28.9%

45.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Perugia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.5%)

Cesena has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Cesena's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Perugia than the current prediction. (+3.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cesena than the current prediction. (-4.9%)

Perugia - Cesena Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
22. Furlan J. (G) 25. Morichelli R. 6. Vulikic S. 15. Dell'Orco C. 7. Paz Y. 16. Bartolomei P. 28. Kouan C. 71. Bozzolan A. 26. Santoro S. 20. Ricci F. 10. Matos	1. Pisseri M. (G) 73. Pieraccini S. 19. Prestia G. 28. Silvestri L. 17. Adamo E. 20. De Rose F. (C) 5. Varone I. 7. Donnarumma D. 8. Hraiech S. 10. Kargbo A. 18. Corazza S.
Substitutes
1. Abibi A. (G) 18. Acella C. 12. Adamonis M. (G) 14. Bezziccheri D. 3. Cancellieri D. 21. Cudrig N. 17. Formisano G. 88. Lomangino D. 94. Mezzoni F. . Polizzi M. 91. Souare M. 24. Torrasi E. . Viti M.	14. Berti T. 6. Bumbu J. 9. Chiarello 4. Chiarello R. 13. Coccolo L. 25. David A. 70. Francesconi M. 30. Giovannini A. 11. Ogunseye R. 26. Piacentini M. 24. Pierozzi E. 3. Pitti E. 61. Siano A. (G) 34. Veliaj G. (G)

Preview

One of the most interesting matches of the day's play. In the match war can see two teams from the top of the table (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Perugia won 1.

Recent matches Perugia is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Cesena is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Cesena will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 10 head-to-head matches Perugia won 1 matches, drawn 6 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 10-13.

Including matches at home between the teams Perugia won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 6-8.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Perugia Calcio
Italian Serie C Group B
18.12.23	Arezzo - Perugia	2:0 ✺
10.12.23	Perugia - Vis Pesaro	2:2 ✺
03.12.23	Olbia - Perugia	0:1 ✺
25.11.23	Perugia - Carrarese	1:1 ✺
18.11.23	Pineto - Perugia	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.1 LTWTT
- AC Cesena
Italian Serie C Group B
17.12.23	Cesena - Sassari Torres	1:1 ✺
09.12.23	Recanatese - Cesena	1:2 ✺
02.12.23	Cesena - Juventus U23	1:0 ✺
Coppa Italia Serie C
28.11.23	Cesena - Rimini	0:2 ✺
Italian Serie C Group B
25.11.23	Pescara - Cesena	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.2 TWWLW

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly
01.08.21	Perugia - Cesena	2:0
Italian Serie C Group B
10.03.21	Cesena - Perugia	1:1
08.10.20	Perugia - Cesena	1:2
Italian Serie B
25.03.18	Cesena - Perugia	1:1
24.10.17	Perugia - Cesena	0:3
23.01.17	Perugia - Cesena	3:3
29.08.16	Cesena - Perugia	1:1

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