Match Info

ITALY: SERIE C - GROUP B - ROUND 2

Date: 27 September 2023, Wednesday

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	Sky Sport


	Cesena		SPAL

	1	X	2
	1.75	3.3	4
	1.72	3.5	4.75
	1.71	3.55	4.88
	1.64	3.55	4.75	Watch
	1.77	3.4	4.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.72 ↓ (2.1)	3.46 ↑ (3.3)	4.52 ↑ (2.9)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cesena
53.3%

Draw
26.5%

SPAL
20.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.4%

27%

30.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.7%

27.8%

29.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cesena has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Cesena's performance.

SPAL has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and SPAL might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cesena than the current prediction. (-9.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Cesena that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for SPAL than the current prediction. (+9.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that SPAL could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
77.8%	22.2%	0%

Cesena - SPAL Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Cesena will win (votes: 7 - 77.8%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 22.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Cesena: 50.6% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Pisseri M. (G) 15. Ciofi A. 19. Prestia G. 28. Silvestri L. 17. Adamo E. 5. Varone I. 20. De Rose F. (C) 7. Donnarumma D. 14. Berti T. 18. Corazza S. 9. Shpendi C.	1. Alfonso E. (G) 3. Bruscagin M. 27. Peda P. 23. Arena M. 33. Tripaldelli A. 80. Puletto F. 6. Bertini M. 37. Maistro F. 26. Siligardi L. 7. Antenucci M. 19. Dalmonte N.
Substitutes
46. Bagli G. 6. Bumbu J. 4. Chiarello R. 25. David A. 70. Francesconi M. 30. Giovannini A. 8. Hraiech S. 10. Kargbo A. 26. Piacentini M. 73. Pieraccini S. 24. Pierozzi E. 3. Pitti E. 61. Siano A. (G)	34. Breit P. 21. Celia R. 8. Collodel R. 5. Contiliano N. 28. Del Favero M. (G) 2. Fiordaliso A. 17. Iglio G. 22. Meneghetti M. (G) 14. Parravicini F. 11. Rabbi S. 75. Rao E. 16. Saiani F. 4. Valentini N.

Preview

Recent matches Cesena is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

SPAL is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recently Cesena have a series of guest games.

Recently SPAL have a series of home games.

Cesena will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Cesena won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 3-6.

Including matches at home between the teams Cesena won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AC Cesena
Italian Serie C Group B
23.09.23	Fermana - Cesena	0:4 ✺
19.09.23	Cesena - Ancona	4:0 ✺
15.09.23	Pontedera - Cesena	1:3 ✺
03.09.23	Olbia - Cesena	2:1 ✺
Coppa Italia
11.08.23	Bologna - Cesena	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 WWWLL
- SPAL 2013
Italian Serie C Group B
19.09.23	Juventus U23 - SPAL	0:1 ✺
15.09.23	SPAL - Perugia	1:2 ✺
02.09.23	SPAL - Vis Pesaro	1:0 ✺
Club Friendly
06.08.23	SPAL - Corticella	4:0 ✺
24.07.23	Napoli - SPAL	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.3 WLWWT

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly
08.08.19	Cesena - SPAL	2:3
Italian Serie B
11.03.17	SPAL - Cesena	2:0
14.10.16	Cesena - SPAL	1:1

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