Match Info

SPAIN: SEGUNDA RFEF - GROUP 5 - ROUND 14

Date: 11 December 2022, Sunday


	Don Benito		Cacereño

	1	X	2
	3.6	3	1.95
	3.5	3	2.2
	3.5	3	2.03
	3.72	2.89	2.16
	3.5	2.9	2.1
	3.54	3.05	2.07
	3.55	3.05	2.04
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.56 ↓ (3.68)	2.98 ↓ (3.4)	2.08 ↑ (1.85)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 7.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Don Benito
25.6%

Draw
30.5%

Cacereño
43.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

24.6%

26.6%

48.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

23.7%

25.7%

50.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Don Benito has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)

Cacereño has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Cacereño might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Don Benito than the current prediction. (-1.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cacereño than the current prediction. (+6.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Cacereño could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Don Benito - Cacereño Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Preview

Outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Segunda RFEF ~ Promotion Play Offs).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Don Benito won 3.

Recent matches Don Benito is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Cacereño is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Cacereño will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 6 head-to-head matches Don Benito won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 8-6.

Including matches at home between the teams Don Benito won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Don Benito
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
04.12.22	Villanovense - Don Benito	0:1 ✺
27.11.22	Don Benito - Atlético Paso	1:0 ✺
20.11.22	Melilla - Don Benito	3:0 ✺
06.11.22	Don Benito - Navalcarnero	2:4 ✺
29.10.22	Alcorcón B - Don Benito	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 21.1 WWLLW
- CP Cacereño
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
04.12.22	Cacereño - Gimnástica Segoviana	2:2 ✺
27.11.22	Estepona - Cacereño	0:0 ✺
20.11.22	Cacereño - Atlético Madrid B	3:0 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
12.11.22	Cacereño - Córdoba	3:0 ✺
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
06.11.22	Unión Adarve - Cacereño	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.4 TTWWT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
20.02.22	Cacereño - Don Benito	2:0
03.10.21	Don Benito - Cacereño	1:1
Club Friendly
28.03.21	Cacereño - Don Benito	0:4
30.09.20	Don Benito - Cacereño	2:1
Spanish Tercera Division - Play Offs
04.02.18	Cacereño - Don Benito	0:1
24.09.17	Don Benito - Cacereño	0:2

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