Match Info

SPAIN: COPA DEL REY - 1/16-FINALS

Date: 3 January 2023, Tuesday

Location: Estadio Municipal Alfonso Murube (Ceuta)

Referee: Vazquez J. (Esp)


	Ceuta		Elche

	1	X	2
	5.25	3.75	1.67	Watch
	4.6	3.5	1.68	Watch
	4.7	3.65	1.74
	4.6	3.55	1.72
	4.8	3.5	1.71
	4.8	3.6	1.75	Watch
	4.6	3.78	1.73	Watch
	4.6	3.6	1.73
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.74 ↑ (4.07)	3.62 ↑ (3.46)	1.72 ↓ (1.83)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 5.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ceuta
19.7%

Draw
25.8%

Elche
54.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

22.7%

26.7%

50.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

22.6%

26.6%

50.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ceuta has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)

Elche has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ceuta than the current prediction. (+2.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Elche than the current prediction. (-3.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
9.7%	19.4%	71%

Ceuta - Elche Predictions

Users Predictions: 31 users predict this event. Ceuta will win (votes: 3 - 9.7%). Elche will win (votes: 22 - 71%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 19.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Elche: 55% – 87%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Preview

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

Elche could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Elche is a favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AD Ceuta
Spanish Copa del Rey
21.12.22	Ceuta - Ibiza	3:2 ✺
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
18.12.22	Ceuta - Deportivo A Coruña	1:2 ✺
11.12.22	Linares Deportivo - Ceuta	2:2 ✺
08.12.22	Ceuta - San Sebastian Reyes	3:1 ✺
04.12.22	Linense - Ceuta	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.9 WLTWL
- Elche CF
Spanish LaLiga
29.12.22	Atlético Madrid - Elche	2:0 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
20.12.22	CD Guadalajara - Elche	0:3 ✺
Club Friendly
08.12.22	Elche - Leeds United	1:2 ✺
02.12.22	Elche - West Bromwich Albion	1:0 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
12.11.22	LAlcora - Elche	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 LWLWW

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