Match Info

SPAIN: Primera RFEF - Group 2 - Round 16

Date: 8 December 2024, Sunday

Location: Estadio Municipal Alfonso Murube (Ceuta)

Where to Watch on TV:


Spain	FEF TV


	Ceuta		Ibiza

	1	X	2
	2.1	3.1	3.1
	2.1	3	3.2
	2.16	3.2	3.3
	2.25	3.05	3.6
	2.18	2.96	3.43
	2.11	3.14	3.45
	2.16	3.2	3.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.15 ↓ (2.43)	3.09 ↑ (3.05)	3.34 ↑ (2.86)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ceuta
42.7%

Draw
29.7%

Ibiza
27.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.8%

30.1%

32.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.6%

29.5%

31.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ceuta has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.9%)

Ibiza has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ceuta than the current prediction. (-4.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ibiza than the current prediction. (+3.9%)

Ceuta - Ibiza Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Lopez P. (G) 20. Escudero A. 16. Redruello Nimo C. 6. Hernandez C. 7. Ahmed A. 21. Lopez J. 5. Bellotti M. 28. Aniekan B. 11. Aquino D. 12. Herranz Corral V. 19. Jamelli	13. Belman (G) 5. Jimenez J. 11. Astals D. 23. Escassi A. 3. Molina G. 10. Gallar A. 21. Eugeni 14. Domenech M. 16. Olabe R. 9. Ferrer P. 12. Dauda M.
Substitutes
22. Aguero 14. Blesa Alex 25. Cantero Y. 2. Delgado F. 18. El Ftouhi S. 15. Guzman J. 3. Lolo Gonzalez 8. Ramos D. 9. Rodri 10. Rodriguez C. 17. Taufek B. M. 13. Vallejo G. (G)	25. Chekotun A. (G) 20. Indias I. 15. Kourouma L. 2. Matos J. 17. Medina U. 4. Monjonell E. 19. Naranjo J. 27. Pugliese P. 7. Quique

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
15', Olabe R. 🟨,
34', Redruello Nimo C. 🟨,
35', 0 - 1, Gallar A. ⚽,
40', 1 - 1, Aquino D. ⚽,
42', Aquino D. ↓, Rodri ↑,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
57', Dauda M. 🟨,
67', Escudero A. ↓, Rodriguez C. ↑,
67', Hernandez C. 🟨,
68', Astals D. ↓, Medina U. ↑,
68', Domenech M. ↓, Kourouma L. ↑,
75', Olabe R. ↓, Indias I. ↑,
75', Dauda M. ↓, Naranjo J. ↑,
76', Indias I. 🟨,
82', Ferrer P. ↓, Quique ↑,
83', Lopez J. ↓, Guzman J. ↑,
83', Jamelli ↓, Delgado F. ↑,
83', Redruello Nimo C. ↓, Blesa Alex ↑,
85', 2 - 1, Hernandez C. ⚽,
89', 3 - 1, Rodri ⚽,

Preview

Enjoy watching a meeting between a mid-table team and a leading team (ranked 12 and 6).

Ceuta is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Ibiza is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Ceuta could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Ceuta will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Ceuta won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 5:4 (average 1.7:1.3).

Including matches at home between the teams Ceuta won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3:3 (average 1.5:1.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AD Ceuta
Spanish Copa del Rey
05.12.24	Ceuta - Osasuna	2:3 ✺
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
01.12.24	Ceuta - Villarreal B	1:1 ✺
24.11.24	Alcoyano - Ceuta	1:1 ✺
17.11.24	Ceuta - Alcorcón	0:2 ✺
10.11.24	Mérida AD - Ceuta	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.3 LTTLT
- UD Ibiza
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
30.11.24	Ibiza - Real Murcia	1:2 ✺
23.11.24	Sevilla B - Ibiza	0:1 ✺
16.11.24	Ibiza - Marbella	2:0 ✺
10.11.24	Antequera - Ibiza	2:0 ✺
03.11.24	Ibiza - Betis B	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 LWWLL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
24.03.24	Ibiza - Ceuta	1:2
03.12.23	Ceuta - Ibiza	0:1
Spanish Copa del Rey
21.12.22	Ceuta - Ibiza	3:2

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