The best margin for this event is 1.5%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Elche 40.4%
Draw 28%
Valencia 31.6%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
39.3%
27.7%
33%
Our Initial ML Estimation
37.9%
28.3%
33.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Elche has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)
Valencia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Elche than the current prediction. (-2.5%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Valencia than the current prediction. (+2.2%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
0%
0%
0%
Elche - Valencia Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Preview
Important points are at stake as a mid-tier club meets a struggling opponent (ranked 15th and 19th in the Relegation - LaLiga2).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Elche won 1.
Both teams have experienced an unpredictable run of results lately.
In this match, both teams have fairly balanced chances of victory.
In the last 12 head-to-head meetings, Elche has recorded 3 wins, 2 draws, and 7 losses, with a goal aggregate of 11:20 (averaging 0.9:1.7 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Elche against this opponent, the record stands at 3 wins, 0 draws, and 3 losses, with 5:9 goals (averaging 0.8:1.5 per game).
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
15
Elche
10
2
4
4
14:17
-3
10
19
Valencia
10
1
3
6
7:17
-10
6
Outrights of Spanish LaLiga for now
Valencia: 0.15% Elche: 0.13%
Last Results with these Odds
Elche - the odds 2.42 are the expected chance of winning is 39.28%, but this team recently wins 56% of matches with these odds.