Match Info

LaLiga2 - Round 6

Date: 20 September 2026, Sunday

Location: Estadio Municipal Alfonso Murube (Ceuta)

Referee: Ais S. (Esp)

Where to Watch on TV:


Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 9
Mexico	Izzi TV
North-central-america	Sky Sports Norte
Spain	DAZN Espana, LaLiga Hypermotion


	Ceuta		Valladolid

	1	X	2
	3.20	3.20	2.25	Watch
	3.00	3.10	2.25
	2.80	3.20	2.32	Watch
	3.29	3.23	2.40
	2.94	3.3	2.44	Watch
	3.25	3.15	2.30
	3.29	3.24	2.28	Watch
	3.05	3.15	2.34
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.1 ↑ (2.76)	3.2 ↓ (3.32)	2.32 ↓ (2.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ceuta
30.2%

Draw
29.4%

Valladolid
40.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.1%

28.3%

37.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.7%

27%

35.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ceuta has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)

Valladolid has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ceuta than the current prediction. (+5.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Ceuta, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Valladolid than the current prediction. (-4.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	33.3%	66.7%

Ceuta - Valladolid Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Valladolid will win (votes: 2 - 66.7%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Vallejo G. (G) 26. Betancourt A. 6. Hernandez C. (C) 4. Caparros A. 3. Matos Jose 20. Melendez A. 17. Mensah M. 32. Okoro C. 19. Sevikyan E. 8. Zalazar K. 7. Camacho A.	1. Aceves A. (G) 14. Alejo I. (C) 12. Rubio M. 4. Torres D. 27. Garriel I. 24. Juric S. 21. Ponceau J. 7. Chacon L. 30. Fernandez V. 19. Arnuncio A. 9. Latasa J.
Substitutes
14. Bodiger Y. 28. Bueno A. 9. Escobar J. 31. Gonzalez A. R. 15. Gonzalez J. 27. Konare U. 1. Lopez P. (G) 34. Mas D. 29. Sadik O. 2. Toni Abad	23. Abed T. 16. Balboa A. 17. Barbera V. 11. Cabanzon Y. 18. Clerc C. 22. de Rooij K. 26. Lavagnino L. (G) 5. Martinez R. 32. Parriego M. 15. Tomeo P. 2. Trilli 20. van Duiven R.
Coaches
Romero J.	Escriba F.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
12', Latasa J. 🟨,
31', Hernandez C. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Betancourt A. ↓, Toni Abad ↑,
46', Mensah M. ↓, Bodiger Y. ↑,
53', 0 - 1, Latasa J. ⚽, Ponceau J. (A),
64', Melendez A. ↓, Sadik O. ↑,
64', Camacho A. ↓, Escobar J. ↑,
70', Ponceau J. ↓, Balboa A. ↑,
70', Fernandez V. ↓, de Rooij K. ↑,
70', Arnuncio A. ↓, Cabanzon Y. ↑,
70', Sevikyan E. ↓, Gonzalez J. ↑,
79', Balboa A. 🟨,
82', Latasa J. ↓, van Duiven R. ↑,
85', Sadik O. 🟨,
86', Garriel I. 🟨,
87', Balboa A. 🟨,
89', Chacon L. ↓, Tomeo P. ↑,
90+1', Sadik O. 🟨,
90+11', 1 - 1, Hernandez C. ⚽, Escobar J. (A),
90+12', Tomeo P. 🟨,

Preview

Ceuta has struggled for results with multiple recent losses (last 5 matches: 0 wins).

Valladolid is experiencing a dip in performance (last 5 matches: 1 win).

Ceuta could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

In this match, both teams have fairly balanced chances of victory.

Confirmed absences for Ceuta: Anuar (Injury) Gonzalez A. R. (Inactive) Illescas M. (Injury) Josema (Inactive) Kone K. (Ankle Injury) Lapena A. (Injury) Mamah K. (Injury) Petxa A. (Inactive) Teguia C. (Injury).

Confirmed absences for Valladolid: Bueno G. (Knee Injury) Marcos Andre (Coach's decision) Ojeda T. (Injury) Perez Guerrero D. (Injury) Rubio M. (Injury).

Doubtful / questionable for Valladolid: Martin D. (Injury).

In the last 2 head-to-head meetings, Ceuta has recorded 0 wins, 0 draws, and 2 losses, with a goal aggregate of 0:6 (averaging 0:3 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Ceuta against this opponent, the record stands at 0 wins, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with 0:3 goals.

Outrights of Spanish LaLiga2 for now

Valladolid: 1.23%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
14	Valladolid	8	2	3	3	8:11	-3	9
21	Ceuta	8	1	2	5	7:18	-11	5

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AD Ceuta
Spanish LaLiga2
11.09.26	Burgos - Ceuta	3:1 ✺
05.09.26	Ceuta - Celta de Vigo B	0:2 ✺
30.08.26	Mallorca - Ceuta	3:0 ✺
22.08.26	Ceuta - Las Palmas	0:2 ✺
15.08.26	FC Andorra - Ceuta	5:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- Real Valladolid
Spanish LaLiga2
13.09.26	Valladolid - Real Oviedo	0:3 ✺
05.09.26	Valladolid - FC Andorra	1:0 ✺
30.08.26	Cádiz - Valladolid	1:1 ✺
23.08.26	Eibar - Valladolid	1:0 ✺
15.08.26	Mallorca - Valladolid	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 LWTLL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish LaLiga2
17.01.26	Ceuta - Valladolid	0:3
15.08.25	Valladolid - Ceuta	3:0

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