Match Info

Primera Nacional - Round 9

Date: 5 April 2025, Saturday

Location: Estadio de Chacarita Juniors (Buenos Aires)

Referee: Zamora E. D. (Arg)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	DirecTV Sports, TyC Sports Play
South-america	DGO Latin America
Venezuela	DSports 1


	Chacarita Juniors		Defensores Unidos

	1	X	2
	1.75	3.3	5	Watch
	1.58	3.5	5.75
	1.74	3.25	5
	1.78	3.09	5.59	Watch
	1.55	3.4	6.5
	1.7	3.34	5.16	Watch
	1.74	3.25	5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.69 ↓ (1.81)	3.3 ↓ (3.32)	5.43 ↑ (4.31)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Chacarita Juniors
54.8%

Draw
28.1%

Defensores Unidos
17.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50.9%

27.7%

21.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.1%

26.6%

20.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Chacarita Juniors has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.9%)

Defensores Unidos has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chacarita Juniors than the current prediction. (-1.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Defensores Unidos than the current prediction. (+3.4%)

Chacarita Juniors - Defensores Unidos Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Avellaneda N. (G) 4. Errecalde G. 2. Rebola A. 6. Andueza F. 3. Quiroga A. 7. Melendez M. 8. Napolitano A. 5. Bravo F. 9. Araujo A. 10. Blanco R. 11. Salinas R. (C)	1. Sanchez A. (G) 4. Arguello J. 2. Laumann F. 6. Scolari J. 7. Carboni B. 3. Mauri M. 8. Sanchez S. 11. Trinidad E. 9. Aguirre D. E. 10. Carrasco D. 5. Velez R.
Substitutes
20. Apa S. 17. Chocobar V. 15. Ciccolini L. 14. Duran D. 16. Figueroa V. 13. Migliore T. 18. Ortiz T. 19. Rivero H. 12. Strumia J. (G)	12. Aquino M. (G) 17. Basualdo N. 18. Carosio T. 19. Ceratto L. 15. Espindola D. 16. Ferreyra T. 14. Osinaga A. 13. Rassol F. 20. Toledo A.
Coaches
Azconzabal J.	de la Riva F.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
11', Carboni B. 🟨,
26', Blanco R. 🟨,
31', Errecalde G. 🟨,
45+1', Rebola A. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Andueza F. ↓, Rivero H. ↑,
46', Napolitano A. ↓, Ciccolini L. ↑,
46', Salinas R. ↓, Ortiz T. ↑,
53', Araujo A. ↓, Figueroa V. ↑,
57', Aguirre D. E. ↓, Ferreyra T. ↑,
57', 🟨,
57', Carrasco D. ↓, Toledo A. ↑,
62', Carboni B. ↓, Espindola D. ↑,
62', Velez R. ↓, Basualdo N. ↑,
66', Toledo A. ↓, Ceratto L. ↑,
68', Mauri M. 🟨,
70', 1 - 0, Ciccolini L. ⚽,
84', Blanco R. ↓, Chocobar V. ↑,
90+5', 2 - 0, Figueroa V. ⚽,

Preview

Team outsider and a mid-table team will meet during this match (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera Nacional (Promotion ~ Play Offs: ) and 16).

Recent matches Chacarita is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Defensores Unidos is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

In this match Chacarita is a favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Chacarita Juniors
Argentinian Primera Nacional
29.03.25	Estudiantes de Caseros - Chacarita Juniors	0:2 ✺
23.03.25	Chacarita Juniors - Deportivo Morón	1:1 ✺
15.03.25	Talleres de Remedios de Escalada - Chacarita Juniors	0:2 ✺
09.03.25	Chacarita Juniors - Estudiantes de Río Cuarto	0:2 ✺
02.03.25	Defensores de Belgrano - Chacarita Juniors	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.8 WTWLL
- Defensores Unidos
Argentinian Primera Nacional
30.03.25	Defensores Unidos - San Telmo	2:2 ✺
22.03.25	Agropecuario Argentino - Defensores Unidos	3:0 ✺
16.03.25	Defensores Unidos - Gimnasia Jujuy	0:3 ✺
11.03.25	Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza - Defensores Unidos	2:0 ✺
01.03.25	Defensores Unidos - Central Norte	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.5 TLLLT

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