The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Estudiantes de Caseros 50.7%
Draw 31.4%
Chacarita Juniors 17.9%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
50.8%
30.9%
18.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
48.7%
29.6%
19.1%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Estudiantes de Caseros has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)
Chacarita Juniors has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Estudiantes de Caseros than the current prediction. (-2%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chacarita Juniors than the current prediction. (+1.2%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
33.3%
66.7%
0%
Estudiantes de Caseros - Chacarita Juniors Predictions
Users Predictions:
3 users predict this event. CA Estudiantes will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 66.7%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Lungarzo J. (G) 4. Dure F. 2. Benitez J. (C) 6. Albarracin M. 3. Quinteros F. 8. Sena F. 5. Melo R. 7. Ardiles F. 10. Correa J. 9. Almiron E. 11. Vera I.
1. Losas F. (G) 4. Maldonado A. 2. Vittor S. 6. Pantaleone N. 3. Chaves N. 7. Melendez M. 5. Perez T. (C) 8. Facello F. 11. Calderara B. 10. Guanca C. 9. Dominguez A.
Substitutes
13. Bernardi B. 17. Camacho S. 18. Degregorio B. 19. Nunez M. 14. Sanchez de Leon B. 16. Silva L. 15. Squie T. 20. Vergara J. 12. Vila F. (G)
14. Acosta S. 19. Brun L. 16. Cuello A. 18. Cuero M. 12. Fernandez G. (G) 20. Gerez E. 13. Leyendeker M. 15. Perdomo L. 17. Sanabria M.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
31', Chaves N. 🟨,
42', Vittor S. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
47', Melo R. 🟨,
52', Dure F. 🟨,
60', Melendez M. 🟨,
62', Maldonado A. 🟨,
63', 1 - 0, Vera I. (Penalty Awarded),
64', Calderara B. ↓, Sanabria M. ↑,
65', Dure F. ↓, Bernardi B. ↑,
66', Sena F. 🟨,
71', Maldonado A. ↓, Leyendeker M. ↑,
71', Melendez M. ↓, Cuero M. ↑,
72', Guanca C. ↓, Brun L. ↑,
77', 2 - 0, Ardiles F. ⚽, Sena F. (A),
79', Quinteros F. ↓, Squie T. ↑,
79', Melo R. ↓, Silva L. ↑,
80', Correa J. ↓, Nunez M. ↑,
81', Facello F. ↓, Cuello A. ↑,
84', Vera I. ↓, Camacho S. ↑,
90', Albarracin M. 🟨,
90+1', Leyendeker M. 🟥,
Preview
This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 9 and 15).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, CA Estudiantes won 2.
The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
Recently, Chacarita has had a series of away games.
In this match, CA Estudiantes is seen as the favorite.
In the last 11 head-to-head matches, CA Estudiantes won 5 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 13:9. (average 1.2:0.8).
Including home matches between the teams, CA Estudiantes won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 4:7. (average 0.8:1.4).
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Lungarzo J. (G) 
Cuero M. 
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