Match Info

ARGENTINA: PRIMERA NACIONAL - ROUND 18

Date: 19 June 2023, Monday

Location: Estadio Juan Alberto Garcia (Resistencia)

Referee: Cordoba C. (Arg)


	Chaco For Ever		Deportivo Maipú

	1	X	2
	2.6	3	2.9
	2.5	2.8	2.9
	2.55	2.9	3
	2.78	2.79	3.07
	2.55	2.75	2.88
	2.65	2.96	2.92
	2.55	2.9	2.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.6 ↓ (3.04)	2.87 ↓ (3.12)	2.94 ↑ (2.22)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Chaco For Ever
35.9%

Draw
32.4%

Deportivo Maipú
31.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

29.9%

29.2%

40.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.7%

28%

42.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Chaco For Ever has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Chaco For Ever's performance.

Deportivo Maipú has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Deportivo Maipú might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chaco For Ever than the current prediction. (-7.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Chaco For Ever that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportivo Maipú than the current prediction. (+10.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Deportivo Maipú could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	50%	25%

Chaco For Ever - Deportivo Maipú Predictions

Users Predictions: 16 users predict this event. Chaco For Ever will win (votes: 4 - 25%). Deportivo Maipú will win (votes: 4 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 8 - 50%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 25.5% – 74.5%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Canuto G. (G) 4. Galetto J. 2. Barbieri G. 6. Marin Y. 5. Valdez D. 3. Allende L. 10. Diaz E. 8. Maccari M. 11. Bayk J. 7. Silva N. 9. Romero M. S.	1. Cozzani J. (G) 4. Moyano S. 2. Coronel F. 6. Gonzales 3. Ferracuti G. 8. Montero F. 5. Manzur A. 7. Gonzalez S. 10. Sambueza R. 9. Klusener G. 11. Herrera L.
Substitutes
15. Abraham L. 18. Bogado E. 16. Bruno E. 17. Ibarra C. 19. Iritier J. 13. Monteseirin F. 20. Rios G. 14. Sanchez Paredes D. 12. Silva L. (G)	13. Aguero Gimenez A. R. 20. Almiron E. 17. Egel M. 18. Olano S. 16. Paredes L. 15. Ramirez R. 12. Rehak G. (G) 19. Veliez A. 14. Viguet M.
Coaches
Osella D.	Garcia L.

Preview

This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera Nacional (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )).

Chaco For Ever is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Deportivo Maipú is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Chaco For Ever won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 5-6.

Including matches at home between the teams Chaco For Ever won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Chaco For Ever
Argentinian Primera Nacional
03.06.23	Chaco For Ever - Villa Dálmine	2:0 ✺
27.05.23	Deportivo Madryn - Chaco For Ever	1:0 ✺
20.05.23	Chaco For Ever - Atlético de Rafaela	0:1 ✺
15.05.23	Estudiantes de Caseros - Chaco For Ever	3:0 ✺
07.05.23	Chaco For Ever - Brown de Adrogué	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.1 WLLLT
- Deportivo Maipú
Argentinian Primera Nacional
03.06.23	Independiente Rivadavia - Deportivo Maipú	2:1 ✺
28.05.23	Deportivo Maipú - Aldosivi	3:2 ✺
21.05.23	Deportivo Maipú - Villa Dálmine	2:1 ✺
13.05.23	Deportivo Madryn - Deportivo Maipú	2:3 ✺
07.05.23	Deportivo Maipú - Atlético de Rafaela	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.6 LWWWT

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Primera Nacional
12.02.23	Deportivo Maipú - Chaco For Ever	2:0
04.06.22	Chaco For Ever - Deportivo Maipú	2:2
Argentinian Torneo Federal
17.03.19	Deportivo Maipú - Chaco For Ever	2:3

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