Match Info

ARGENTINA: PRIMERA NACIONAL - ROUND 15

Date: 21 May 2023, Sunday

Location: Stadion Omar Higinio Sperdutti (Maipu)

Referee: Monson Brizuela G. (Arg)


	Deportivo Maipú		Villa Dálmine

	1	X	2
	1.36	4.2	12
	1.35	4.5	8
	1.35	4.3	10
	1.36	4.51	10.45
	1.33	4.33	8.5
	1.35	4.7	9.6
	1.34	4.4	9
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.35 ↓ (1.63)	4.42 ↑ (3.43)	9.65 ↑ (5.1)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 5.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Deportivo Maipú
69.2%

Draw
21.1%

Villa Dálmine
9.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.7%

26.5%

17.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.3%

25.3%

17%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Deportivo Maipú has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Deportivo Maipú's performance.

Villa Dálmine has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Villa Dálmine might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportivo Maipú than the current prediction. (-10.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Deportivo Maipú that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Villa Dálmine than the current prediction. (+7.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Villa Dálmine could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Deportivo Maipú - Villa Dálmine Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

Deportivo Maipú is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Villa Dálmine is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Villa Dálmine could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Deportivo Maipú is absolute favorite.

Our prediction for today's Deportivo Maipú to win the game is with odds 1.46.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Deportivo Maipú won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4-0.

Including matches at home between the teams Deportivo Maipú won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Deportivo Maipú
Argentinian Primera Nacional
13.05.23	Deportivo Madryn - Deportivo Maipú	2:3 ✺
07.05.23	Deportivo Maipú - Atlético de Rafaela	1:1 ✺
29.04.23	Estudiantes de Caseros - Deportivo Maipú	0:0 ✺
23.04.23	Deportivo Maipú - Brown de Adrogué	1:0 ✺
16.04.23	Quilmes - Deportivo Maipú	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15 WTTWW
- Villa Dálmine
Argentinian Primera Nacional
13.05.23	Villa Dálmine - Aldosivi	0:1 ✺
06.05.23	Villa Dálmine - Deportivo Madryn	1:3 ✺
30.04.23	Atlético de Rafaela - Villa Dálmine	1:0 ✺
22.04.23	Villa Dálmine - Estudiantes de Caseros	1:0 ✺
15.04.23	Brown de Adrogué - Villa Dálmine	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.6 LLLWL

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Primera Nacional
22.07.22	Deportivo Maipú - Villa Dálmine	4:0

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