Match Info

Primera Nacional - Round 10

Date: 19 April 2026, Sunday

Location: Estadio Ciudad de Caseros (Buenos Aires)


	Estudiantes de Caseros		Chaco For Ever

	1	X	2
	1.76	3	5.5	Watch
	1.85	3	4.55	Watch
	1.8	3.26	5.55
	1.92	2.94	4.92	Watch
	1.83	3	4.6
	1.8	3.01	5.51	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.83 ↓ (2.01)	3.04 ↑ (2.85)	5.11 ↑ (4.17)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 4.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Estudiantes de Caseros
51%

Draw
30.7%

Chaco For Ever
18.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.8%

32.2%

22%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.7%

30.9%

21.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Estudiantes de Caseros has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Estudiantes de Caseros's performance.

Chaco For Ever has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Estudiantes de Caseros than the current prediction. (-3.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chaco For Ever than the current prediction. (+2.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
83.3%	0%	16.7%

Estudiantes de Caseros - Chaco For Ever Predictions

Users Predictions: Estudiantes de Caseros will win (5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 53.51% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Campisi N. (G) 4. Bernardi B. 2. Benitez J. 6. Quinteros F. 3. Squie T. 7. Ardiles F. 5. Melo R. 8. Sena F. 10. Correa J. 9. Rostagno D. 11. Salas T.	1. Caprio N. (G) 2. Valdez D. 5. Nievas B. 6. Silvera M. 3. Pruzzo L. 7. Cerrudo J. 4. Luque A. 8. Carrizo J. 11. Ojeda A. 10. Marinucci L. 9. Pacheco E.
Substitutes
13. Albarracin M. 17. Camacho S. 14. Caro Nicolas 19. Degregorio B. 15. Dure F. 18. Melo A. 16. Sanchez de Leon M. 20. Vera I. 12. Vila F. (G)	12. Canuto G. (G) 20. Enriquez I. 19. Espejo L. 13. Garay R. 18. Lioi A. 14. Melgarejo G. 15. Mihovilcevich L. 17. Molina F. 16. Valenzuela S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
22', Pruzzo L. 🟨,
41', Squie T. 🟨,
45', Benitez J. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
54', Rostagno D. 🟨,
63', Rostagno D. ↓, Vera I. ↑,
73', Carrizo J. ↓, Lioi A. ↑,
73', Marinucci L. ↓, Enriquez I. ↑,
76', Ojeda A. ↓, Molina F. ↑,
77', Melo R. ↓, Melo A. ↑,
77', Salas T. ↓, Camacho S. ↑,
81', Cerrudo J. ↓, Melgarejo G. ↑,
81', Pacheco E. ↓, Espejo L. ↑,
86', Squie T. ↓, Caro Nicolas ↑,
86', Correa J. ↓, Degregorio B. ↑,

Preview

This time, only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 15 and 18 in the zone Relegation).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, CA Estudiantes won 3.

CA Estudiantes has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Chaco For Ever's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

CA Estudiantes may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, CA Estudiantes is a strong favorite.

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, CA Estudiantes won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 9:4. (average 1.5:0.7).

Including home matches between the teams, CA Estudiantes won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 7:2. (average 2.3:0.7).

Last Results with these Odds

Estudiantes de Caseros - the odds 2.01 are the expected chance of winning is 45.75%, but this team recently wins 63% of matches with these odds.

Chaco For Ever - the odds 4.17 are the expected chance of winning is 22.01%, but this team recently wins 0% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CA Estudiantes de Caseros
Argentinian Primera Nacional
12.04.26	Ferro Carril Oeste - Estudiantes de Caseros	0:1 ✺
04.04.26	Estudiantes de Caseros - Central Norte	1:0 ✺
29.03.26	Chacarita Juniors - Estudiantes de Caseros	0:3 ✺
21.03.26	Deportivo Madryn - Estudiantes de Caseros	3:0 ✺
14.03.26	Estudiantes de Caseros - Defensores de Belgrano	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.1 WWWLL
- Chaco For Ever
Argentinian Primera Nacional
12.04.26	Chaco For Ever - All Boys	2:0 ✺
05.04.26	Los Andes - Chaco For Ever	2:0 ✺
Copa Argentina
01.04.26	Defensa y Justicia - Chaco For Ever	2:1 ✺
Argentinian Primera Nacional
27.03.26	Chaco For Ever - Gimnasia Jujuy	1:2 ✺
21.03.26	Chaco For Ever - Godoy Cruz	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.7 WLLLT

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Primera Nacional
14.06.25	Estudiantes de Caseros - Chaco For Ever	1:2
07.02.25	Chaco For Ever - Estudiantes de Caseros	0:1
23.09.23	Chaco For Ever - Estudiantes de Caseros	2:1
15.05.23	Estudiantes de Caseros - Chaco For Ever	3:0
15.10.22	Estudiantes de Caseros - Chaco For Ever	3:0
18.09.22	Chaco For Ever - Estudiantes de Caseros	0:0

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