Match Info

EL SALVADOR: PRIMERA DIVISION - CLAUSURA - ROUND 17

Date: 16 April 2023, Sunday


	Chalatenango		CD FAS

	1	X	2
	3.5	3.25	1.9
	3.35	3.05	2
	4.01	3.25	1.97
	3.8	3.4	1.89
	3.55	3.35	1.88
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.64 ↑ (3.31)	3.26 ↑ (3.14)	1.93 ↓ (2.07)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Chalatenango
25%

Draw
27.9%

CD FAS
47.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

27.4%

28.9%

43.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.1%

29.2%

44.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Chalatenango has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)

CD FAS has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chalatenango than the current prediction. (+2.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for CD FAS than the current prediction. (-3%)

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Preview

Let's watch a game between leader and outsider (ranked 10 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera Division (Clausura ~ Play Offs: )).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Chalatenango won 3.

Both teams are now playing unstable.

Chalatenango could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

CD FAS will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 29 head-to-head matches Chalatenango won 8 matches, drawn 11 matches, lost 10 matches and goals 24-31.

Including matches at home between the teams Chalatenango won 4 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 11-12.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Chalatenango
El Salvador Primera Division
09.04.23	Chalatenango - CD Dragón	2:2 ✺
02.04.23	Luis Ángel Firpo - Chalatenango	0:1 ✺
29.03.23	Santa Tecla - Chalatenango	2:3 ✺
26.03.23	Chalatenango - Isidro Metapán	2:2 ✺
19.03.23	Chalatenango - Atlético Marte	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.2 TWWTL
- CD FAS
El Salvador Primera Division
12.04.23	CD FAS - Águila	2:1 ✺
09.04.23	Platense Municipal Zacatecoluca - CD FAS	0:3 ✺
01.04.23	CD FAS - Jocoro	1:3 ✺
29.03.23	CD FAS - Atlético Marte	0:0 ✺
26.03.23	Once Deportivo Ahuachapan - CD FAS	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.6 WWLTT

Latest Head to Head

El Salvador Primera Division
19.02.23	CD FAS - Chalatenango	1:1
27.04.22	Chalatenango - CD FAS	3:2
23.02.22	CD FAS - Chalatenango	1:3
05.12.21	CD FAS - Chalatenango	1:2 penalties
02.12.21	Chalatenango - CD FAS	0:0
17.11.21	CD FAS - Chalatenango	1:1
15.09.21	Chalatenango - CD FAS	1:2

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