Match Info

Primera Division - Clausura - Round 19

Date: 17 April 2025, Thursday

Where to Watch on TV:


Canada	beIN Connect
El-salvador	Tigo Sports
South-america	ViX Latin America
Spain	beIN Sports US XTRA Espanol, beIN Sports US XTRA Espanol
Usa	beIN Connect, Fanatiz


	Once Deportivo Ahuachapan		CD FAS

	1	X	2
	3.95	3	1.96
	4.59	3.16	1.86
	4.44	3.14	1.92	Watch
	3.55	3.25	2.08	Watch
	3.95	3	1.96
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.1 ↑ (3.88)	3.11 ↑ (2.91)	1.96 ↓ (2.04)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Once Deportivo Ahuachapan
22.7%

Draw
29.9%

CD FAS
47.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

23.6%

31.5%

44.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27%

27.5%

39.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Once Deportivo Ahuachapan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

CD FAS has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Once Deportivo Ahuachapan than the current prediction. (+4.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for CD FAS than the current prediction. (-8.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for CD FAS, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Once Deportivo Ahuachapan - CD FAS Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
18', 0 - 1, Medrano E. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
54', 0 - 2, Ramos J. ⚽,
71', 1 - 2, Valencia M. ⚽,
87', 2 - 2, Valencia M. ⚽,

Preview

An autsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 11 and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera Division (Clausura ~ Play Offs: )).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Once Deportivo won 2.

Once Deportivo has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

FAS is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

FAS will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 20 head-to-head matches Once Deportivo won 6 matches, drawn 9 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 24:23 (average 1.2:1.2).

Including matches at home between the teams Once Deportivo won 2 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 10:8 (average 1.3:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Once Deportivo Ahuachapan
El Salvador Primera Division
13.04.25	Once Deportivo Ahuachapan - CD Dragón	0:1 ✺
09.04.25	Platense Municipal Zacatecoluca - Once Deportivo Ahuachapan	2:0 ✺
06.04.25	Once Deportivo Ahuachapan - Cacahuatique	0:0 ✺
29.03.25	Municipal Limeño - Once Deportivo Ahuachapan	3:0 ✺
23.03.25	Once Deportivo Ahuachapan - Isidro Metapán	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.5 LLTLL
- CD FAS
El Salvador Primera Division
12.04.25	Isidro Metapán - CD FAS	3:1 ✺
09.04.25	CD FAS - Fuerte San Francisco	0:3 ✺
05.04.25	Alianza San Miguel - CD FAS	1:0 ✺
30.03.25	CD FAS - Águila	1:1 ✺
26.03.25	Luis Ángel Firpo - CD FAS	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.4 LLLTW

Latest Head to Head

El Salvador Primera Division
23.02.25	CD FAS - Once Deportivo Ahuachapan	2:0
21.12.24	CD FAS - Once Deportivo Ahuachapan	1:2 ET
23.10.24	CD FAS - Once Deportivo Ahuachapan	1:2
28.07.24	Once Deportivo Ahuachapan - CD FAS	2:2
28.04.24	Once Deportivo Ahuachapan - CD FAS	0:0
09.03.24	CD FAS - Once Deportivo Ahuachapan	2:2
12.11.23	Once Deportivo Ahuachapan - CD FAS	0:2

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