Match Info

Yi League - Round 16

Date: 28 June 2025, Saturday

Location: Yatai Training Base Stadium (Changchun)


	Changchun Xidu		Shanxi Chongde Ronghai

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.57	3.1	6.25
				Watch
	1.51	3.28	6.84
				Watch
	1.5	3.3	7.75
	1.57	3.4	6.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.54 ↓ (1.55)	3.27 ↓ (3.32)	6.76 ↑ (6.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 9.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Changchun Xidu
58.9%

Draw
27.7%

Shanxi Chongde Ronghai
13.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58.6%

27.4%

14%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.2%

26.2%

13.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Changchun Xidu has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

Shanxi Chongde Ronghai has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Changchun Xidu than the current prediction. (+2.3%)

The ML Model estimate for Shanxi Chongde Ronghai aligns with the current prediction.

Changchun Xidu - Shanxi Chongde Ronghai Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 50%) .

AH -1 - Changchun Xidu (1.74) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

O/U 1, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Changchun Xidu (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
23. Hu H. (G) 6. Wang Xin 14. Li Zhen 49. Memet Nuryasin 5. Wang Zihao (C) 8. Kadir Aysan 10. Murat Bebet 33. Li Xin 29. He Youzu 9. Qin Wanzhun 16. Sun Fei	1. Rong Shang (G) 10. Li Diantong 33. Liu Tianyang 51. Hu Binrong 3. Zheng Yiming 5. Wu Peng (C) 31. Tan Tiancheng 18. Xiaohan L. 6. Zhang Wei 7. Li Jinqing 9. Gong Zheng
Substitutes
58. Bai Yuhang 17. Erkin Ababekri 4. Erlan Ghulaht 22. Huang Wenzhuo 1. Liu Y. (G) 7. Musajan Musajan 45. Nurlan Nurzat 42. Suo Mingwei 46. Wang Shengbo 12. Wang Y. 20. Xu Zhaoji 36. Zhao Ran	43. Abdugheni Muqamet 21. Bai Shuo (G) 15. Huang Zhiyuan 19. Jin Jian 37. Su Shun 46. Yao Younan 23. Zhang Ao 30. Zhang Song
Coaches
Li Bin	Hu Zhaojun

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
21', Li Diantong 🟨,
24', Li Zhen 🟨,
27', 1 - 0, He Youzu ⚽,
29', Murat Bebet 🟨,
37', Li Jinqing ↓, Jin Jian ↑,
37', Hu Binrong ↓, Yao Younan ↑,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Su Shun ↓, Zhang Song ↑,
53', Zhang Wei 🟨,
60', He Youzu ↓, Zhao Ran ↑,
60', Li Xin ↓, Wang Shengbo ↑,
63', Gong Zheng 🟨,
71', Gong Zheng ↓, Huang Zhiyuan ↑,
72', Hu Zhaojun 🟨,
83', Qin Wanzhun 🟨,
85', Kadir Aysan ↓, Erkin Ababekri ↑,
88', 2 - 0, Wang Xin ⚽,
90+1', Sun Fei ↓, Erlan Ghulaht ↑,
90+1', Qin Wanzhun ↓, Nurlan Nurzat ↑,
90+5', Xiaohan L. 🟨,

Preview

Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Yi League (Promotion Group: ) and 8 in the zone Yi League (Relegation Group: )).

Changchun Xidu is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Shanxi's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Changchun Xidu may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Changchun Xidu is the clear favorite.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Changchun Xidu won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Changchun Xidu
Chinese Yi League
24.06.25	Changchun Xidu - Hubei Istar	1:0 ✺
21.06.25	Jiangxi Lushan - Changchun Xidu	0:0 ✺
15.06.25	Changchun Xidu - Taian Tiankuang	1:0 ✺
07.06.25	Changchun Xidu - Beijing Institute of Technology	1:0 ✺
26.05.25	Hangzhou Linping Wuyue - Changchun Xidu	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 WTWWL
- Shanxi Chongde Ronghai
Chinese Yi League
22.06.25	Hangzhou Linping Wuyue - Shanxi Chongde Ronghai	2:0 ✺
15.06.25	Shanxi Chongde Ronghai - Hubei Istar	5:1 ✺
07.06.25	Shanxi Chongde Ronghai - Shanghai Port B	0:0 ✺
31.05.25	Shanxi Chongde Ronghai - Jiangxi Lushan	0:3 ✺
25.05.25	Nantong Haimen Codion - Shanxi Chongde Ronghai	7:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.8 LWTLL

Latest Head to Head

Chinese Yi League
13.04.25	Shanxi Chongde Ronghai - Changchun Xidu	0:0

Changchun Xidu - Shanxi Chongde Ronghai: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide